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On the valuation of reverse mortgages with regular tenure payments

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  • Lee, Yung-Tsung
  • Wang, Chou-Wen
  • Huang, Hong-Chih

Abstract

For the valuation of reverse mortgages with tenure payments, this article proposes a specific analytic valuation framework with mortality risk, interest rate risk, and housing price risk that helps determine fair premiums when the present value of premiums equals the present value of contingent losses. The analytic valuation of reverse mortgages with tenure payments is more complex than the valuation with a lump sum payment. This study therefore proposes a dimension reduction technique to achieve a closed-form solution for reverse annuity mortgage insurance, conditional on the evolution of interest rates. The technique provides strong accuracy, offering important implications for lenders and insurers.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Yung-Tsung & Wang, Chou-Wen & Huang, Hong-Chih, 2012. "On the valuation of reverse mortgages with regular tenure payments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 430-441.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:51:y:2012:i:2:p:430-441
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.06.008
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    2. Jr-Wei Huang & Sharon S. Yang & Chuang-Chang Chang, 2021. "Modeling Housing Price Dynamics and their Impact on the Cost of no-Negative-Equity-Guarantees for Equity Releasing Products," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(2), pages 249-279, August.
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    6. Kwong Koon-Shing & Tse Yiu-Kuen & Chay Junxing, 2021. "A Hybrid Equity Release Plan for Retirement Financing," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 1-24, January.
    7. Kyung Jin Choi & Byungkwon Lim & Jaehwan Park, 2020. "Evaluation of the Reverse Mortgage Option in Korea: A Long Straddle Perspective," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-14, September.
    8. Cho Daniel & Hanewald Katja & Sherris Michael, 2015. "Risk Analysis for Reverse Mortgages with Different Payout Designs," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 77-105, January.
    9. Yung-Tsung Lee & Tianxiang Shi, 2022. "Valuation of Reverse Mortgages with Surrender: A Utility Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 593-621, November.
    10. Shi, Tianxiang & Lee, Yung-Tsung, 2021. "Prepayment risk in reverse mortgages: An intensity-governed surrender model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 68-82.
    11. Badescu, Alexandru & Quaye, Enoch & Tunaru, Radu, 2022. "On non-negative equity guarantee calculations with macroeconomic variables related to house prices," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 119-138.
    12. Kim, Joseph H.T. & Li, Johnny S.H., 2017. "Risk-neutral valuation of the non-recourse protection in reverse mortgages: A case study for Korea," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 133-154.
    13. Hyung-Suk Choi, 2019. "A Numerical Analysis to Study Whether the Early Termination of Reverse Mortgages is Rational," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-10, December.
    14. Yang, Sharon S. & Wang, Chou-Wen, 2013. "Pricing and securitization of multi-country longevity risk with mortality dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 157-169.
    15. Dowd, Kevin & Buckner, Dean & Blake, David & Fry, John, 2019. "The valuation of no-negative equity guarantees and equity release mortgages," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    16. Jackie Li & Atsuyuki Kogure & Jia Liu, 2019. "Multivariate Risk-Neutral Pricing of Reverse Mortgages under the Bayesian Framework," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-12, January.
    17. Fuente, Iván de la & Navarro, Eliseo & Serna, Gregorio, 2021. "Estimating regulatory capital requirements for reverse mortgages. An international comparison," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 239-252.
    18. Lee, Yung-Tsung & Kung, Ko-Lun & Liu, I-Chien, 2018. "Profitability and risk profile of reverse mortgages: A cross-system and cross-plan comparison," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 255-266.

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