IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v40y2021ics1544612319314114.html

Convergence in cryptocurrency prices? the role of market microstructure

Author

Listed:
  • Apergis, Nicholas
  • Koutmos, Dimitrios
  • Payne, James E.

Abstract

Do we observe convergence between cryptocurrencies over time? This study explores this question with eight major cryptocurrencies in circulation and posits a framework to evaluate whether shifts in their market microstructures drive convergence. Three main findings emerge. First, convergence occurs between cryptocurrencies with distinct technological functions and classifications. Second, market microstructure behavior drives convergence. Third, estimated transition paths show tighter convergence for half of our sampled cryptocurrencies during the time when the Chicago Board of Exchange (CBOE) introduced bitcoin futures contracts.

Suggested Citation

  • Apergis, Nicholas & Koutmos, Dimitrios & Payne, James E., 2021. "Convergence in cryptocurrency prices? the role of market microstructure," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:40:y:2021:i:c:s1544612319314114
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101685
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612319314114
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101685?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter C. B. Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2007. "Transition Modeling and Econometric Convergence Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1771-1855, November.
    2. Sifat, Imtiaz Mohammad & Mohamad, Azhar & Mohamed Shariff, Mohammad Syazwan Bin, 2019. "Lead-Lag relationship between Bitcoin and Ethereum: Evidence from hourly and daily data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 306-321.
    3. Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Sanches, Daniel, 2019. "Can currency competition work?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-15.
    4. Akcora, Cuneyt Gurcan & Dixon, Matthew F. & Gel, Yulia R. & Kantarcioglu, Murat, 2018. "Bitcoin risk modeling with blockchain graphs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 138-142.
    5. Tran, Vu Le & Leirvik, Thomas, 2019. "A simple but powerful measure of market efficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 141-151.
    6. Chamberlain, Gary & Rothschild, Michael, 1983. "Arbitrage, Factor Structure, and Mean-Variance Analysis on Large Asset Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(5), pages 1281-1304, September.
    7. Omane-Adjepong, Maurice & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul, 2019. "Multiresolution analysis and spillovers of major cryptocurrency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 191-206.
    8. Van Vliet, Ben, 2018. "An alternative model of Metcalfe’s Law for valuing Bitcoin," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 70-72.
    9. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
    10. Cuneyt Akcora & Matthew Dixon & Yulia Gel & Murat Kantarcioglu, 2018. "Bitcoin Risk Modeling with Blockchain Graphs," Papers 1805.04698, arXiv.org.
    11. Connor, Gregory & Korajczyk, Robert A., 1988. "Risk and return in an equilibrium APT : Application of a new test methodology," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 255-289, September.
    12. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    13. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David, 2019. "Cryptocurrency market contagion: Market uncertainty, market complexity, and dynamic portfolios," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 37-51.
    14. Tran, Vu Le & Leirvik, Thomas, 2020. "Efficiency in the markets of crypto-currencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    15. Koutmos, Dimitrios, 2018. "Return and volatility spillovers among cryptocurrencies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 122-127.
    16. Chaim, Pedro & Laurini, Márcio P., 2018. "Volatility and return jumps in bitcoin," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 158-163.
    17. Lior Menzly & Tano Santos & Pietro Veronesi, 2002. "The Time Series of the Cross Section of Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 9217, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Dyhrberg, Anne H. & Foley, Sean & Svec, Jiri, 2018. "How investible is Bitcoin? Analyzing the liquidity and transaction costs of Bitcoin markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 140-143.
    19. Easley, David & O'Hara, Maureen & Basu, Soumya, 2019. "From mining to markets: The evolution of bitcoin transaction fees," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 91-109.
    20. Connor, Gregory & Korajczyk, Robert A., 1986. "Performance measurement with the arbitrage pricing theory : A new framework for analysis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 373-394, March.
    21. Jun Liu & Allan Timmermann, 2013. "Optimal Convergence Trade Strategies," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(4), pages 1048-1086.
    22. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. "Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-1617, December.
    23. Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "High frequency volatility co-movements in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 35-52.
    24. Hu, Yang & Valera, Harold Glenn A. & Oxley, Les, 2019. "Market efficiency of the top market-cap cryptocurrencies: Further evidence from a panel framework," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 138-145.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Fanyi & Ma, Wanying & Mirza, Nawazish & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2023. "Green financing, financial uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and oil prices volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Gunay, Samet & Goodell, John W. & Muhammed, Shahnawaz & Kirimhan, Destan, 2023. "Frequency connectedness between FinTech, NFT and DeFi: Considering linkages to investor sentiment," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2022. "Cryptocurrency market connectedness in Covid-19 days and the role of Twitter: Evidence from a smooth transition regression model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Mohamad, Azhar & Stavroyiannis, Stavros, 2022. "Do birds of a feather flock together? Evidence from time-varying herding behaviour of bitcoin and foreign exchange majors during Covid-19," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Jeremy Eng-Tuck Cheah & Thong Dao & Haozhe Su, 2024. "Measuring cryptocurrency moment convergence using distance analysis," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 332(1), pages 533-577, January.
    6. Wang, Qishu, 2023. "Herding behavior and the dynamics of ESG performance in the European banking industry," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    7. Ivan Letteri, 2025. "A Comparative Analysis of Statistical and Machine Learning Models for Outlier Detection in Bitcoin Limit Order Books," Papers 2507.14960, arXiv.org.
    8. Apergis, Nicholas, 2023. "Realized higher-order moments spillovers across cryptocurrencies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tran, Vu Le & Leirvik, Thomas, 2020. "Efficiency in the markets of crypto-currencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    2. Manel Mahjoubi & Jamel Eddine Henchiri, 2024. "The effect of policy uncertainty on the volatility of bitcoin," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(4), pages 429-441, May.
    3. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Ignasi Merediz‐Solà, 2021. "Where Do We Stand In Cryptocurrencies Economic Research? A Survey Based On Hybrid Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 377-407, April.
    4. Aktham Maghyereh & Salem Adel Ziadat, 2024. "Pattern and determinants of tail-risk transmission between cryptocurrency markets: new evidence from recent crisis episodes," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-34, December.
    5. Carmen López-Martín & Sonia Benito Muela & Raquel Arguedas, 2021. "Efficiency in cryptocurrency markets: new evidence," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 403-431, September.
    6. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "A Survey on Volatility Fluctuations in the Decentralized Cryptocurrency Financial Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-46, June.
    7. Helder Miguel Correia Virtuoso Sebastião & Paulo José Osório Rupino Da Cunha & Pedro Manuel Cortesão Godinho, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies and blockchain. Overview and future perspectives," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 21(3), pages 305-342.
    8. Ahmed, Mohamed Shaker & El-Masry, Ahmed A. & Al-Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Kumar, Satish, 2024. "Cryptocurrency volatility: A review, synthesis, and research agenda," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. José Almeida & Tiago Cruz Gonçalves, 2024. "Cryptocurrency market microstructure: a systematic literature review," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 332(1), pages 1035-1068, January.
    10. Pin-Huang Chou & Robert P. Parks, 1993. "A Further Re-Examination of the Contrarian Investment Strategy: Evidence from Multivariate Tests," Finance 9307001, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Apr 1994.
    11. Manahov, Viktor & Urquhart, Andrew, 2021. "The efficiency of Bitcoin: A strongly typed genetic programming approach to smart electronic Bitcoin markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    12. Kar, Sabyasachi & Roy, Amrita & Sen, Kunal, 2019. "The double trap: Institutions and economic development," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-259.
    13. Hu, Yang & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les & Corbet, Shaen, 2021. "Does blockchain patent-development influence Bitcoin risk?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    14. Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Volatility spillovers and other dynamics between cryptocurrencies and the energy and bond markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-13.
    15. Asil Azimli, 2024. "Time-varying spillovers in high-order moments among cryptocurrencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-39, December.
    16. Muhammad Anas & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Larisa Yarovaya, 2024. "The use of high-frequency data in cryptocurrency research: a meta-review of literature with bibliometric analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-31, December.
    17. Akyildirim, Erdinc & Corbet, Shaen & Coskun, Ali & Ercan, Metin, 2025. "Connectedness of cryptocurrency-related stocks and the cryptocurrency market: Evidence from the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    18. Onur Özdemir, 2022. "Cue the volatility spillover in the cryptocurrency markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from DCC-GARCH and wavelet analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-38, December.
    19. Khaled Mokni & Ghassen El Montasser & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Elie Bouri, 2025. "On the Efficiency and Its Drivers in the Cryptocurrency Market: The Case of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Springer Books, in: Gang Kou & Yongqiang Li & Zongyi Zhang & J. Leon Zhao & Zhi Zhuo (ed.), Blockchain, Crypto Assets, and Financial Innovation, pages 162-191, Springer.
    20. Karasiński Jacek, 2023. "The adaptive market hypothesis and the return predictability in the cryptocurrency markets," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 9(1), pages 94-118, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:40:y:2021:i:c:s1544612319314114. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.