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Crowd-sourced Chinese genealogies as data for demographic and economic history

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  • Xue, Melanie Meng

Abstract

This paper evaluates the usefulness of crowd-sourced Chinese genealogical data for quantitative research in demography and economic history. I first examine whether genealogies — despite well-known selection biases — produce demographic patterns consistent with established historical knowledge of China. Comparisons with existing studies show that aggregate population-growth trends and sex ratios over time align reasonably well with established demographic and historical findings, suggesting that genealogies, though selective, capture coherent and interpretable patterns. Building on these plausibility checks, the paper argues that the main value of genealogical data lies in their scalability and temporal depth, particularly as crowd-sourced digitization vastly expands the number of available records. These features make genealogies well suited to analyses that leverage variation across regions and over time, an approach that is central in modern economic history.

Suggested Citation

  • Xue, Melanie Meng, 2026. "Crowd-sourced Chinese genealogies as data for demographic and economic history," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:exehis:v:99:y:2026:i:c:s0014498325000816
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101734
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carol H. SHIUE, 2016. "A Culture of Kinship: Chinese Genealogies as a Souce for Research in Demographic Economics," JODE - Journal of Demographic Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 82(4), pages 459-482, December.
    2. Carol H. Shiue, 2017. "Human capital and fertility in Chinese clans before modern growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 351-396, December.
    3. Buckles, Kasey & Haws, Adrian & Price, Joseph & Wilbert, Haley E.B., 2025. "Breakthroughs in historical record linking using genealogy data: The Census Tree project," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    4. Shiue, Carol H., 2016. "A Culture Of Kinship: Chinese Genealogies As A Source For Research In Demographic Economics," Journal of Demographic Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 82(4), pages 459-482, December.
    5. Liliana P. Calderón-Bernal & Diego Alburez-Gutierrez & Emilio Zagheni, 2023. "Analysing biases in genealogies using demographic microsimulation," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2023-034, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    6. Shiue, Carol & Keller, Wolfgang, 2024. "Elite Strategies for Big Shocks: The Case of the Fall of the Ming," CEPR Discussion Papers 19642, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    7. Carol H. Shiue & Wolfgang Keller, 2024. "Elite Strategies for Big Shocks: The Case of the Fall of the Ming," NBER Working Papers 33121, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Colasurdo, Andrea & Omenti, Riccardo, 2024. "Using Online Genealogical Data for Demographic Research: An Empirical Examination of the FamiLinx Database," SocArXiv 62yxm, Center for Open Science.
    9. Price, Joseph & Buckles, Kasey & Van Leeuwen, Jacob & Riley, Isaac, 2021. "Combining family history and machine learning to link historical records: The Census Tree data set," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    10. Ying Dai, 2025. "Lineage genealogies as a new source for researching the occupational structure of twentieth-century China: Tradition (partially) transformed," Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(1), pages 54-79, January.
    11. Kasey Buckles & Joseph Price & Zachary Ward & Haley E.B. Wilbert, 2023. "Family Trees and Falling Apples: Historical Intergenerational Mobility Estimates for Women and Men," NBER Working Papers 31918, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Andrea Colasurdo & Riccardo Omenti, 2024. "Using online genealogical data for demographic research: An empirical examination of the FamiLinx database," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 51(41), pages 1299-1350.
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    14. Guillaume Blanc, 2023. "The Cultural Origins of the Demographic Transition in France," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2309, Economics, The University of Manchester.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • N1 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations
    • N35 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy - - - Asia including Middle East

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