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CO2 emission reduction effect of photovoltaic industry through 2060 in China

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  • Guo, Xiaopeng
  • Dong, Yining
  • Ren, Dongfang

Abstract

In the coming four-decade, China will face serious challenge while shifting to carbon neutral. Photovoltaic (PV) power, as one of the most promising clean energies, is seen as an important focus for decarbonization of the power sector in China. The novelty of this study is to use life cycle assessment (LCA) methods to analyze the CO2 emission reduction of the PV generation industry before 2060 base on the amount of energy and resources consumed and PV generation's CO2 reduction benefits during the whole industrial chain. This paper aims to examine CO2 emission reduction contribution, we firstly compute the historical emissions and predict future PV waste and new power capacity from 2010 to 2060. Then, considering the change of industrial structure and technological evolution, the yearly life cycle CO2 emission from producing stage to recycling stage is calculated. The key results show that the unit CO2 emission of PV system producing will reduce 88.07% from 2010 to 2060. PV generation industry's total CO2 emission has reached its neutrality between 2014 and 2015, and will reduce 33.03 Giga tons CO2-eq till 2060. The findings can offer relevant insights to low-carbon development of China's PV industry and will provide suggestions for policy-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Guo, Xiaopeng & Dong, Yining & Ren, Dongfang, 2023. "CO2 emission reduction effect of photovoltaic industry through 2060 in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:269:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223000865
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.126692
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    3. Rong Wang & Sandra Hasanefendic & Elizabeth Von Hauff & Bart Bossink, 2023. "A System Dynamics Approach to Technological Learning Impact for the Cost Estimation of Solar Photovoltaics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-17, December.

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