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How can carbon capture utilization and storage be incentivized in China? A perspective based on the 45Q tax credit provisions

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  • Fan, Jing-Li
  • Xu, Mao
  • Yang, Lin
  • Zhang, Xian
  • Li, Fengyu

Abstract

Carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) technologies are crucial for achieving long-term climate change goals in China. Drawing on the 45Q tax credit provisions enacted by the U.S., three subsidy modes, two scenarios and two carbon emission reduction options are developed in this study, in which the real options approach combined with a trinomial tree model is employed to evaluate investment decisions made by coal-fired power plants (CFPP) in China. The results show that offering a 12-year CO2 storage subsidy to full-chain CCUS CFPP provides the motivation needed for CCUS investment during the 12-year subsidy period; however the economic benefits of such investment cannot be sustained over the 40-year lifetime. It's economically viable for CFPP to capture 90% CO2 emissions and sell them to oil enterprises for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) over a 40-year period. Besides, for full-chain CCUS CFPP the incentive effects of the 45Q subsidy mode and the full initial investment plus operation and maintenance (I + O&M) subsidy mode are much more suited to the 40-year emission reduction option, whereas the simple O&M subsidy mode is more suitable for the 12-year emission reduction option. However, for CO2-EOR projects, there is no significant difference between the three subsidy modes.

Suggested Citation

  • Fan, Jing-Li & Xu, Mao & Yang, Lin & Zhang, Xian & Li, Fengyu, 2019. "How can carbon capture utilization and storage be incentivized in China? A perspective based on the 45Q tax credit provisions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1229-1240.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:132:y:2019:i:c:p:1229-1240
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.07.010
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    4. Liu, Feng & Lv, Tao & Meng, Yuan & Li, Cong & Hou, Xiaoran & Xu, Jie & Deng, Xu, 2023. "Potential analysis of BESS and CCUS in the context of China's carbon trading scheme toward the low-carbon electricity system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 462-471.
    5. Jiang, Kai & Ashworth, Peta & Zhang, Shiyi & Liang, Xi & Sun, Yan & Angus, Daniel, 2020. "China's carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) policy: A critical review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    6. Yang, Lin & Xu, Mao & Fan, Jingli & Liang, Xi & Zhang, Xian & Lv, Haodong & Wang, Dong, 2021. "Financing coal-fired power plant to demonstrate CCS (carbon capture and storage) through an innovative policy incentive in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    7. Hanne Lamberts-Van Assche & Tine Compernolle, 2022. "Using Real Options Thinking to Value Investment Flexibility in Carbon Capture and Utilization Projects: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-24, February.
    8. Xiaowan Yang & Xiaoyu Guo & Yanan Wang, 2023. "Characteristics of Carbon Emission Transfer under Carbon Neutrality and Carbon Peaking Background and the Impact of Environmental Policies and Regulations on It," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-20, May.
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    10. Liu, Jiangfeng & Zhang, Qi & Li, Hailong & Chen, Siyuan & Teng, Fei, 2022. "Investment decision on carbon capture and utilization (CCU) technologies—A real option model based on technology learning effect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).

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