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Climate policies after Paris: Pledge, Trade and Recycle

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  • Böhringer, Christoph
  • Peterson, Sonja
  • Rutherford, Thomas F.
  • Schneider, Jan
  • Winkler, Malte

Abstract

This article summarizes insights from the 36th Energy Modeling Forum study (EMF36) on the magnitude and distribution of economic adjustment costs of greenhouse gas emission reduction targets. Under the Paris Agreement, countries have committed to emission reduction targets – so-called Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) – in order to combat global warming. The study suggests that aligning NDCs with the commonly agreed 2°C temperature target will induce global economic costs of roughly 1% in 2030. However, these costs are unevenly distributed across regions. Countries exporting fossil fuels are most adversely affected from the transition towards a low-carbon economy. In order to reduce adjustment costs at the global and regional level, comprehensive emissions trading which exploits least-cost abatement options is strongly desirable to avoid contentious normative debates on equitable burden sharing. Lump-sum recycling of revenues from emissions pricing, in equal amounts to every household, appeals as an attractive strategy to mitigate regressive effects and thereby improving the social acceptability of stringent climate policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Böhringer, Christoph & Peterson, Sonja & Rutherford, Thomas F. & Schneider, Jan & Winkler, Malte, 2021. "Climate policies after Paris: Pledge, Trade and Recycle," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:103:y:2021:i:c:s0140988321003571
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105471
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    Cited by:

    1. Khabbazan, Mohammad M. & von Hirschhausen, Christian, 2021. "The implication of the Paris targets for the Middle East through different cooperation options," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Mayer, Jakob & Dugan, Anna & Bachner, Gabriel & Steininger, Karl W., 2021. "Is carbon pricing regressive? Insights from a recursive-dynamic CGE analysis with heterogeneous households for Austria," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Böhringer, Christoph & Rutherford, Thomas F. & Schneider, Jan, 2021. "The incidence of CO2 emissions pricing under alternative international market responses," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    4. Frankovic, Ivan, 2022. "The impact of carbon pricing in a multi-region production network model and an application to climate scenarios," Discussion Papers 07/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Shanghui Jia & Xinhui Chen & Liyan Han & Jiayu Jin, 2023. "Global climate change and commodity markets: A hedging perspective," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(10), pages 1393-1422, October.
    6. Bekkers, Eddy & Cariola, Gianmarco, 2022. "Comparing different approaches to tackle the challenges of global carbon pricing," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2022-10, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Paris Agreement; Emissions pricing and trading; Revenue recycling;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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