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Anticipatory effects in the FTSE 100 index revisions

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  • Fernandes, Marcelo
  • Mergulhão, João

Abstract

This paper examines the price impact of trading due to expected changes in the FTSE 100 index composition, which employs publicly-known objective criteria to determine membership. Hence, it provides a natural context to investigate anticipatory trading effects. We propose a panel-regression event study that backs out these anticipatory effects by looking at the price impact of the ex-ante probability of changing index membership status. Our findings reveal that anticipative trading explains about 40% and 23% of the cumulative abnormal returns of additions and deletions, respectively. The results are both statistically and economically significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernandes, Marcelo & Mergulhão, João, 2016. "Anticipatory effects in the FTSE 100 index revisions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 79-90.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:empfin:v:37:y:2016:i:c:p:79-90
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2016.02.009
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    Cited by:

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    5. Gang Chu & John W. Goodell & Xiao Li & Yongjie Zhang, 2023. "Understanding short‐term price pressure from index reconstitutions: Evidence from the CSI 300," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(2), pages 2421-2440, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Imperfect substitutes; Index revision; Liquidity; Price pressure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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