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Multivariate versus univariate Kriging metamodels for multi-response simulation models

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  • Kleijnen, Jack P.C.
  • Mehdad, Ehsan

Abstract

To analyze the input/output behavior of simulation models with multiple responses, we may apply either univariate or multivariate Kriging (Gaussian process) metamodels. In multivariate Kriging we face a major problem: the covariance matrix of all responses should remain positive-definite; we therefore use the recently proposed “nonseparable dependence” model. To evaluate the performance of univariate and multivariate Kriging, we perform several Monte Carlo experiments that simulate Gaussian processes. These Monte Carlo results suggest that the simpler univariate Kriging gives smaller mean square error.

Suggested Citation

  • Kleijnen, Jack P.C. & Mehdad, Ehsan, 2014. "Multivariate versus univariate Kriging metamodels for multi-response simulation models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 236(2), pages 573-582.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:236:y:2014:i:2:p:573-582
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.02.001
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    4. Hernandez, Andres F. & Grover, Martha A., 2013. "Error estimation properties of Gaussian process models in stochastic simulations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 228(1), pages 131-140.
    5. Kleijnen, Jack P.C. & Beers, Wim van & Nieuwenhuyse, Inneke van, 2010. "Constrained optimization in expensive simulation: Novel approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 164-174, April.
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    8. Kleijnen, Jack P.C. & Mehdad, E., 2013. "Conditional simulation for efficient global optimization," Other publications TiSEM 52e4860d-9887-4a63-b19a-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    9. Kleijnen, J.P.C. & Smits, M.T., 2003. "Performance metrics in supply chain management," Other publications TiSEM 80777aed-0c9f-4ded-b0bb-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    10. Higdon, Dave & Gattiker, James & Williams, Brian & Rightley, Maria, 2008. "Computer Model Calibration Using High-Dimensional Output," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 570-583, June.
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    13. Xi Chen & Bruce E. Ankenman & Barry L. Nelson, 2013. "Enhancing Stochastic Kriging Metamodels with Gradient Estimators," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(2), pages 512-528, April.
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    8. Rahat, Alma A.M. & Wang, Chunlin & Everson, Richard M. & Fieldsend, Jonathan E., 2018. "Data-driven multi-objective optimisation of coal-fired boiler combustion systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 446-458.
    9. Kleijnen, Jack & van Nieuwenhuyse, I. & van Beers, W.C.M., 2022. "Constrained Optimization in Simulation : Efficient Global Optimization and Karush-Kuhn-Tucker Conditions," Other publications TiSEM 903e51c8-bed3-4e97-990f-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

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