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System dynamics simulation model for assessing socio-economic impacts of different levels of environmental flow allocation in the Weihe River Basin, China

Author

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  • Wei, Shouke
  • Yang, Hong
  • Song, Jinxi
  • Abbaspour, Karim C.
  • Xu, Zongxue

Abstract

This study develops a complex system dynamics model (SD) reflecting interactions between water resources, Environmental Flow (EF) and socio-economy using SD software package “Vensim PLE”. The proposed model is employed to assess socio-economic impacts of different levels of EF allocation in the Weihe River Basin of China. Four alternative socio-economic growth patterns and four EF allocation schemes are designed to simulate those impacts. The results reveal that developed SD model performance well in reflecting the dynamic behavior of the system in the current study area. In the meanwhile, an optimal growth pattern considering both socio-economic growth and EF requirements are also found by comparing the different scenario simulation results.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei, Shouke & Yang, Hong & Song, Jinxi & Abbaspour, Karim C. & Xu, Zongxue, 2012. "System dynamics simulation model for assessing socio-economic impacts of different levels of environmental flow allocation in the Weihe River Basin, China," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 248-262.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:221:y:2012:i:1:p:248-262
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2012.03.014
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. International Water Management Institute (IWMI)., 2005. "Environmental flows: planning for environmental water allocation," IWMI Water Policy Briefings H037891, International Water Management Institute.
    2. Z. Xu & K. Takeuchi & H. Ishidaira & X. Zhang, 2002. "Sustainability Analysis for Yellow River Water Resources Using the System Dynamics Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(3), pages 239-261, June.
    3. Smakhtin, Vladimir U. & Revenga, C. & Doll, P., 2004. "Taking into account environmental water requirements in global-scale water resources assessments," IWMI Research Reports H031758, International Water Management Institute.
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