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Impacts of climate variability and changes on domestic water use in the Yellow River Basin of China

Listed author(s):
  • Xiao-jun Wang


    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute
    Ministry of Water Resources
    Beijing Normal University)

  • Jian-yun Zhang

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute
    Ministry of Water Resources)

  • Shahid Shamsuddin

    (Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM))

  • Ru-lin Oyang

    (Ministry of Water Resources
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Tie-sheng Guan

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute
    Ministry of Water Resources)

  • Jian-guo Xue

    (Yellow River Conservancy Commission)

  • Xu Zhang

    (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute
    Ministry of Water Resources)

Registered author(s):

    Abstract We present a methodology for using a domestic water use time series that were obtained from Yellow River Conservancy Commission, together with the climatic records from the National Climate Center of China to evaluate the effects of climate variability on water use in the Yellow River Basin. A suit of seven Global Circulation Models (GCMs) were adopted to anticipate future climate patterns in the Yellow River. The historical records showed evidences of rises in temperature and subsequent rises in domestic water demand in the basin. For Upstream of Longyangxia region, the impact was the least, with only 0.0021 × 108 m3 for a temperature increase of 1 °C; while for Longyangxia-Lanzhou region, domestic water use was found to increase to 0.18 × 108 m3 when temperature increases 1 °C. Downstream of Huayuankou was the region with the most changes in temperature that gave the highest increase of 1.95 × 108 m3 in domestic water demand for 1 °C of change of temperature. Downstream of Huayuankou was identified as the most vulnerable area, where domestic water demand increases nearly by 42.2 % with 1 °C increase of temperature. Judging from the trends of temperature range, we concluded that future temperature in Yellow River Basin has an increasing tendency. This could worsen the existing issues of domestic water demand and even more to trigger high competition among different water-using sectors.

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    Article provided by Springer in its journal Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change.

    Volume (Year): 22 (2017)
    Issue (Month): 4 (April)
    Pages: 595-608

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    Handle: RePEc:spr:masfgc:v:22:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s11027-015-9689-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11027-015-9689-1
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    1. M. Babel & A. Gupta & P. Pradhan, 2007. "A multivariate econometric approach for domestic water demand modeling: An application to Kathmandu, Nepal," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(3), pages 573-589, March.
    2. Claudia Pahl-Wostl, 2007. "Transitions towards adaptive management of water facing climate and global change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(1), pages 49-62, January.
    3. Kathleen Miller & Valerie Belton, 2014. "Water resource management and climate change adaptation: a holistic and multiple criteria perspective," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 289-308, March.
    4. Giordano, Mark & Zhu, Zhongping & Cai, X. & Hong, S. & Zhang, X. & Xue, Y., 2004. "Water management in the Yellow River Basin: background, current critical issues and future research needs," IWMI Research Reports H035287, International Water Management Institute.
    5. Maamar Sebri, 2014. "A meta-analysis of residential water demand studies," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 499-520, June.
    6. Goncalves, J.M. & Pereira, L.S. & Fang, S.X. & Dong, B., 2007. "Modelling and multicriteria analysis of water saving scenarios for an irrigation district in the upper Yellow River Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 94(1-3), pages 93-108, December.
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