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Does nature dependence drive firms’ supply chain risk?

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  • Hoang, Huy Viet
  • Vu, Giang Thi Minh

Abstract

Using the fixed effect estimator on a U.S. firm dataset from 2012 to 2021, this study reveals that greater dependence on natural resources significantly increases supply chain risk. The mechanism analysis identifies that supply chain risk intensifies when firms face greater volatility in input material costs and maintain lower inventory reserves, supporting the inventory management channel. Additional evidence shows that this unfavorable impact is amplified following major global shocks, namely the 2016 Paris Agreement and the 2018 U.S.–China trade war. These findings collectively underscore the need for enhanced input diversification, inventory resilience, and adaptive strategies in managing nature-related risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoang, Huy Viet & Vu, Giang Thi Minh, 2026. "Does nature dependence drive firms’ supply chain risk?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:259:y:2026:i:c:s0165176525005919
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112754
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    References listed on IDEAS

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