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Shock and roam: Migratory responses to natural disasters

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  • Yuan, Haishan
  • Zhu, Chuanqi

Abstract

Using novel data on roaming mobile phones and a synthetic control method, we find out-migration in the area affected by the 2014 Ludian earthquake in Southwest China. The induced emigration emerged within a few weeks after the earthquake and persisted for months. We find no evidence that the earthquake drew back migrants who, prior to the earthquake, had emigrated to Guangdong province, which is a manufacturing hub and the primary destination of rural migrant workers in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuan, Haishan & Zhu, Chuanqi, 2016. "Shock and roam: Migratory responses to natural disasters," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 37-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:148:y:2016:i:c:p:37-40
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.09.020
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Dube, Arindrajit & Zipperer, Ben, 2015. "Pooling Multiple Case Studies Using Synthetic Controls: An Application to Minimum Wage Policies," IZA Discussion Papers 8944, IZA Network @ LISER.
    5. Abadie, Alberto & Diamond, Alexis & Hainmueller, Jens, 2010. "Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(490), pages 493-505.
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Yunmeng, 2024. "Do natural disaster affect rural labor migration? Evidence from the Wenchuan earthquake in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 996-1006.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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