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External debt management as macroprudential policy in a small open economy

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  • Setiastuti, Sekar Utami
  • Purwanto, Nur M. Adhi
  • Sasongko, Aryo

Abstract

This paper examines the role of macroprudential policy and foreign exchange rate intervention in stabilizing the economy facing foreign shocks. To this end, we build a small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a banking sector. We add foreign loans by entrepreneurs regulated by a macroprudential policy via a foreign to domestic loan ratio requirement. The exchange rate intervention is undertaken via a modified Taylor rule. From the analysis, two important results emerge. First, the responses of aggregate output, consumption, investment, and inflation vary widely for different types of foreign shock and policy combinations. Second, the stabilization gain seems to depend on the type of foreign shock hitting the economy. When the economy is hit by a foreign interest rate shock, tightening the macroprudential measure reduces the volatility of output, consumption, and investment-more than if the stabilization effort is carried out through an exchange rate intervention. However, under a risk premium shock, this gain diminishes substantially.

Suggested Citation

  • Setiastuti, Sekar Utami & Purwanto, Nur M. Adhi & Sasongko, Aryo, 2021. "External debt management as macroprudential policy in a small open economy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 446-462.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:71:y:2021:i:c:p:446-462
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2021.06.002
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    Cited by:

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    2. Solikin M. Juhro & Denny Lie & Aryo Sasongko, 2022. "An estimated open-economy DSGE model for the evaluation of central bank policy mix," Working Papers 2022-01, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    3. Solikin M. Juhro & Denny Lie & Atet Rizki Wijoseno & Mohammad Aly Fikry, 2022. "Fiscal Policy Stance, Central Bank Digital Currency, And The Optimal Monetary-Macroprudential Policy Mix," Working Papers WP/01/2022, Bank Indonesia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate; Macroprudential policy; Credit frictions; Foreign shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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