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Towards a New Dynamic Measure of Competitive Balance: A Study Applied to Australia’s Two Major Professional ‘Football’ Leagues

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  • Liam J. A. Lenten

    (School of Economics and Finance, La Trobe University, Victoria, 3086, Australia)

Abstract

A new measure for competitive balance between seasons is proposed, which takes the form of a mobility gain function, based on each team’s win ratios from the current and previous seasons. This ‘dynamic’ function measures competitive balance within a oneperiod change framework. While it is not suggested that this measure replace useful existing within-season measures, such as the widely used actual-to-idealised standard deviation (ASD/ISD) ratio, this measure does overcome one of the shortcomings of within-season measures – that is, the ability to pick up uncertainty of outcome from season to season, rather than merely from round-to-round. Hence, it is suggested that this measure could be used in conjunction with within-season measures in time-series analysis. An application to Australia’s Australian Football League (AFL) and National Rugby League (NRL) over a century of data reveals numerous interesting comparisons.

Suggested Citation

  • Liam J. A. Lenten, 2009. "Towards a New Dynamic Measure of Competitive Balance: A Study Applied to Australia’s Two Major Professional ‘Football’ Leagues," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 407-428, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v39:y:2009:i:3:p:407-428
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lenten, Liam J.A. & Smith, Aaron C.T. & Boys, Noel, 2018. "Evaluating an alternative draft pick allocation policy to reduce ‘tanking’ in the Australian Football League," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(1), pages 315-320.
    2. Vincent (Vincent Peter) Hogan & Patrick Massey & Shane Massey, 2014. "Analysing Match Attendance in the European Rugby Cup," Working Papers 201412, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    3. Nicholas King & P. Dorian Owen & Rick Audas, 2012. "Playoff Uncertainty, Match Uncertainty and Attendance at Australian National Rugby League Matches," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 88(281), pages 262-277, June.
    4. Patrick Massey & Shane Massey & Vincent (Vincent Peter) Hogan, 2012. "Analysing Determinants of Match Attendance in the European Rugby Cup," Working Papers 201228, School of Economics, University College Dublin.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Competitive Balance; Measurement Methods;

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

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