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Pure jump models for pricing and hedging VIX derivatives

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Jing
  • Li, Lingfei
  • Zhang, Gongqiu

Abstract

Recent non-parametric statistical analysis of high-frequency VIX data (Todorov and Tauchen, 2011) reveals that VIX dynamics is a pure jump semimartingale with infinite jump activity and infinite variation. To our best knowledge, existing models in the literature for pricing and hedging VIX derivatives do not have these features. This paper fills this gap by developing a novel class of parsimonious pure jump models with such features for VIX based on the additive time change technique proposed in Li et al. (2016a, 2016b). We time change the 3/2 diffusion by a class of additive subordinators with infinite activity, yielding pure jump Markov semimartingales with infinite activity and infinite variation. These processes have time and state dependent jumps that are mean reverting and are able to capture stylized features of VIX. Our models take the initial term structure of VIX futures as input and are analytically tractable for pricing VIX futures and European options via eigenfunction expansions. Through calibration exercises, we show that our model is able to achieve excellent fit for the VIX implied volatility surface which typically exhibits very steep skews. Comparison to two other models in terms of calibration reveals that our model performs better both in-sample and out-of-sample. We explain the ability of our model to fit the volatility surface by evaluating the matching of moments implied from market VIX option prices. To hedge VIX options, we develop a dynamic strategy which minimizes instantaneous jump risk at each rebalancing time while controlling transaction cost. Its effectiveness is demonstrated through a simulation study on hedging Bermudan style VIX options.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Jing & Li, Lingfei & Zhang, Gongqiu, 2017. "Pure jump models for pricing and hedging VIX derivatives," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 28-55.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:74:y:2017:i:c:p:28-55
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2016.11.001
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    3. Liang Wang & Weixuan Xia, 2022. "Power‐type derivatives for rough volatility with jumps," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1369-1406, July.
    4. Yang Li & Yaolei Wang & Taitao Feng & Yifei Xin, 2021. "A New Simplified Weak Second-Order Scheme for Solving Stochastic Differential Equations with Jumps," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-14, January.
    5. Wang, Qi & Wang, Zerong, 2020. "VIX valuation and its futures pricing through a generalized affine realized volatility model with hidden components and jump," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    6. Takuji Arai, 2019. "Pricing And Hedging Of Vix Options For Barndorff-Nielsen And Shephard Models," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(08), pages 1-26, December.
    7. Christian Meier & Lingfei Li & Gongqiu Zhang, 2019. "Markov Chain Approximation of One-Dimensional Sticky Diffusions," Papers 1910.14282, arXiv.org.
    8. Weiwei Guo & Lingfei Li, 2019. "Parametric inference for discretely observed subordinate diffusions," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 77-110, April.
    9. Takuji Arai, 2019. "Pricing and hedging of VIX options for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models," Papers 1904.12260, arXiv.org.
    10. Daniel Guterding, 2020. "Inventory effects on the price dynamics of VSTOXX futures quantified via machine learning," Papers 2002.08207, arXiv.org.
    11. Zhigang Tong & Allen Liu, 2018. "Analytical pricing of discrete arithmetic Asian options under generalized CIR process with time change," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(01), pages 1-21, March.
    12. Zhigang Tong & Allen Liu, 2017. "Analytical pricing formulas for discretely sampled generalized variance swaps under stochastic time change," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(02n03), pages 1-24, June.
    13. Wei-Guo Zhang & Zhe Li & Yong-Jun Liu & Yue Zhang, 2021. "Pricing European Option Under Fuzzy Mixed Fractional Brownian Motion Model with Jumps," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(2), pages 483-515, August.
    14. Tong, Zhigang & Liu, Allen, 2021. "A censored Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process for rainfall modeling and derivatives pricing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
    15. Kevin Z. Tong & Allen Liu, 2019. "Option pricing in a subdiffusive constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(02), pages 1-21, June.
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    17. Changfu Ma & Wei Xu & Yue Kuen Kwok, 2020. "Willow tree algorithms for pricing VIX derivatives under stochastic volatility models," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(01), pages 1-28, March.

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