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Measuring high-frequency income risk from low-frequency data

  • Klein, Paul
  • Telyukova, Irina A.

We estimate a monthly income process using annual longitudinal household-level income data, in order to understand the nature of income risk faced by households at high frequency, and to provide an input for models that wish to study household decision-making at higher frequency than available data. At both frequencies, idiosyncratic earnings shocks have a highly persistent component. At monthly frequency, transitory shocks account for most of the earnings variance; at annual frequency, the persistent component is dominant. We apply our estimates in the context of a standard incomplete-market model, and show that decision-making frequency per se makes a small difference.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016518891200200X
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

Volume (Year): 37 (2013)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 535-542

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Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:37:y:2013:i:3:p:535-542
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jedc

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  1. Telyukova, Irina A., 2012. "Household Need for Liquidity and the Credit Card Debt Puzzle," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt0ww2c04z, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
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  5. Jonathan Heathcote, 2003. "The Macroeconomic Implications of Rising Wage Inequality in the United States," Working Papers gueconwpa~03-03-19, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
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  7. Lee, Bong-Soo & Ingram, Beth Fisher, 1991. "Simulation estimation of time-series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2-3), pages 197-205, February.
  8. Kjetil Storesletten & Chris I. Telmer & Amir Yaron, 2000. "Consumption and Risk Sharing Over the Life Cycle," NBER Working Papers 7995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Huggett, Mark, 1993. "The risk-free rate in heterogeneous-agent incomplete-insurance economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 17(5-6), pages 953-969.
  10. Richard Blundell & Ian Preston, 1998. "Consumption Inequality and Income Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 113(2), pages 603-640.
  11. Fatih Guvenen & Anthony Smith, 2010. "Inferring labor income risk from economic choices: an indirect inference approach," Staff Report 450, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  12. Christopher D. Carroll, 2005. "The Method of Endogenous Gridpoints for Solving Dynamic Stochastic Optimization Problems," NBER Technical Working Papers 0309, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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