IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/dyncon/v101y2019icp17-40.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal execution with regime-switching market resilience

Author

Listed:
  • Siu, Chi Chung
  • Guo, Ivan
  • Zhu, Song-Ping
  • Elliott, Robert J.

Abstract

In this paper, we study the optimal placement of market orders in a limit order book (LOB) market when the market resilience rate, which is the rate at which market replenishes itself after each trade, is stochastic. More specifically, we establish a tractable extension to the optimal execution model in Obizhaeva and Wang (2013) by modelling the dynamics of the resilience rate to be driven by a Markov chain. When the LOB replenishes itself stochastically through time, the optimal execution strategy becomes state-dependent, and is driven linearly by the current remaining position and the current temporary price impact, with their linear dependence based on the expectation of the dynamics of future resilience rate. A trader would optimally place more aggressive (respectively, conservative) market orders when the limit order book switches from a low to a high resilience state, (respectively, from a high to a low resilience state). Our cost saving analysis indicates that the incremental execution costs can be substantial when the agent ignores the stochastic dynamics of the market resilience rate by adopting the state-independent strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Siu, Chi Chung & Guo, Ivan & Zhu, Song-Ping & Elliott, Robert J., 2019. "Optimal execution with regime-switching market resilience," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 17-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:101:y:2019:i:c:p:17-40
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.01.006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188919300247
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jedc.2019.01.006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hee‐Joon Ahn & Kee‐Hong Bae & Kalok Chan, 2001. "Limit Orders, Depth, and Volatility: Evidence from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 767-788, April.
    2. Aur'elien Alfonsi & Antje Fruth & Alexander Schied, 2007. "Optimal execution strategies in limit order books with general shape functions," Papers 0708.1756, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2010.
    3. Alexander Schied & Torsten Schöneborn, 2009. "Risk aversion and the dynamics of optimal liquidation strategies in illiquid markets," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 181-204, April.
    4. Obizhaeva, Anna A. & Wang, Jiang, 2013. "Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-32.
    5. M. Schneider & F. Lillo, 2019. "Cross-impact and no-dynamic-arbitrage," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 137-154, January.
    6. Dirk Becherer & Todor Bilarev & Peter Frentrup, 2018. "Optimal liquidation under stochastic liquidity," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 39-68, January.
    7. Paulwin Graewe & Ulrich Horst, 2016. "Optimal Trade Execution with Instantaneous Price Impact and Stochastic Resilience," Papers 1611.03435, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2017.
    8. Hans Degryse & Frank De Jong & Maarten Van Ravenswaaij & Gunther Wuyts, 2005. "Aggressive Orders and the Resiliency of a Limit Order Market," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 9(2), pages 201-242.
    9. Biais, Bruno & Hillion, Pierre & Spatt, Chester, 1995. "An Empirical Analysis of the Limit Order Book and the Order Flow in the Paris Bourse," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1655-1689, December.
    10. Handa, Puneet & Schwartz, Robert A, 1996. "Limit Order Trading," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1835-1861, December.
    11. Aurelien Alfonsi & Antje Fruth & Alexander Schied, 2010. "Optimal execution strategies in limit order books with general shape functions," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 143-157.
    12. Yang, Qing-Qing & Ching, Wai-Ki & Gu, Jia-Wen & Siu, Tak-Kuen, 2018. "Market-making strategy with asymmetric information and regime-switching," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 408-433.
    13. Thakor, Anjan V. & Boot, Arnoud (ed.), 2008. "Handbook of Financial Intermediation and Banking," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780444515582.
    14. Hamao, Yasushi & Hasbrouck, Joel, 1995. "Securities Trading in the Absence of Dealers: Trades and Quotes on the Tokyo Stock Exchange," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 8(3), pages 849-878.
    15. He, Hua & Mamaysky, Harry, 2005. "Dynamic trading policies with price impact," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 891-930, May.
    16. Lo, Danny K. & Hall, Anthony D., 2015. "Resiliency of the limit order book," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 222-244.
    17. Ranaldo, Angelo, 2004. "Order aggressiveness in limit order book markets," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 53-74, January.
    18. Antje Fruth & Torsten Schöneborn & Mikhail Urusov, 2014. "Optimal Trade Execution And Price Manipulation In Order Books With Time-Varying Liquidity," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 651-695, October.
    19. Marco Avellaneda & Sasha Stoikov, 2008. "High-frequency trading in a limit order book," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 217-224.
    20. Chiarella, Carl & He, Xue-Zhong & Wei, Lijian, 2015. "Learning, information processing and order submission in limit order markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 245-268.
    21. Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Lynch, Anthony W., 1999. "Transaction costs and predictability: some utility cost calculations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 47-78, April.
    22. He, Xin-Jiang & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2017. "How should a local regime-switching model be calibrated?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 149-163.
    23. Bertsimas, Dimitris & Lo, Andrew W., 1998. "Optimal control of execution costs," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 1-50, April.
    24. Large, Jeremy, 2007. "Measuring the resiliency of an electronic limit order book," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, February.
    25. Forsyth, P.A. & Kennedy, J.S. & Tse, S.T. & Windcliff, H., 2012. "Optimal trade execution: A mean quadratic variation approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1971-1991.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Julia Ackermann & Thomas Kruse & Mikhail Urusov, 2025. "Multi-asset optimal trade execution with stochastic cross-effects: An Obizhaeva-Wang-type framework," Papers 2503.05594, arXiv.org.
    2. Xiaoyue Li & John M. Mulvey, 2023. "Optimal Portfolio Execution in a Regime-switching Market with Non-linear Impact Costs: Combining Dynamic Program and Neural Network," Papers 2306.08809, arXiv.org.
    3. Jean-Pierre Fouque & Sebastian Jaimungal & Yuri F. Saporito, 2021. "Optimal Trading with Signals and Stochastic Price Impact," Papers 2101.10053, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    4. Guanxing Fu & Xiaomin Shi & Zuo Quan Xu, 2024. "A System of BSDEs with Singular Terminal Values Arising in Optimal Liquidation with Regime Switching," Papers 2412.19058, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2025.
    5. Da Fonseca, José & Malevergne, Yannick, 2021. "A simple microstructure model based on the Cox-BESQ process with application to optimal execution policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Olbrys, Joanna & Mursztyn, Michal, 2019. "Estimation of intraday stock market resiliency: Short-Time Fourier Transform approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    7. Yan, Tingjin & Chiu, Mei Choi & Wong, Hoi Ying, 2023. "Portfolio liquidation with delayed information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    8. Nils Bundi & Ching-Lin Wei & Khaldoun Khashanah, 2024. "Optimal trade execution in cryptocurrency markets," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 283-318, June.
    9. Junrong Liu & Zhiping Chen & Qihong Duan, 2024. "Automation of the Individualized Investing Strategy for an Investment Advisor Established by a Semi-Markov Regime-Switching Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2351-2370, June.
    10. David Evangelista & Yuri Thamsten, 2023. "Approximately optimal trade execution strategies under fast mean-reversion," Papers 2307.07024, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ningyuan Chen & Steven Kou & Chun Wang, 2018. "A Partitioning Algorithm for Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Market Microstructure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(2), pages 784-803, February.
    2. Obizhaeva, Anna A. & Wang, Jiang, 2013. "Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-32.
    3. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Hautsch, Nikolaus & Mihoci, Andrija, 2012. "Modelling and forecasting liquidity supply using semiparametric factor dynamics," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 610-625.
    4. Kashyap, Ravi, 2020. "David vs Goliath (You against the Markets), A dynamic programming approach to separate the impact and timing of trading costs," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    5. Yamamoto, Ryuichi, 2019. "Dynamic Predictor Selection And Order Splitting In A Limit Order Market," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 1757-1792, July.
    6. Gerry Tsoukalas & Jiang Wang & Kay Giesecke, 2019. "Dynamic Portfolio Execution," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 2015-2040, May.
    7. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7391 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei Chen & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang & Wei-Xing Zhou & H Eugene Stanley, 2016. "Limit-order book resiliency after effective market orders: Spread, depth and intensity," Papers 1602.00731, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2017.
    9. Martin D. Gould & Mason A. Porter & Stacy Williams & Mark McDonald & Daniel J. Fenn & Sam D. Howison, 2010. "Limit Order Books," Papers 1012.0349, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
    10. Olivier Gu'eant & Charles-Albert Lehalle & Joaquin Fernandez Tapia, 2011. "Optimal Portfolio Liquidation with Limit Orders," Papers 1106.3279, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2012.
    11. Danny Lo, 2015. "Essays in Market Microstructure and Investor Trading," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 4-2015, January-A.
    12. Marcello Monga, 2024. "Automated Market Making and Decentralized Finance," Papers 2407.16885, arXiv.org.
    13. Ulrich Horst & Evgueni Kivman, 2024. "Optimal trade execution under small market impact and portfolio liquidation with semimartingale strategies," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 759-812, July.
    14. Olivier Guéant, 2016. "The Financial Mathematics of Market Liquidity: From Optimal Execution to Market Making," Post-Print hal-01393136, HAL.
    15. Qinghua Li, 2014. "Facilitation and Internalization Optimal Strategy in a Multilateral Trading Context," Papers 1404.7320, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2015.
    16. S. C. P. Yam & W. Zhou, 2017. "Optimal Liquidation of Child Limit Orders," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 42(2), pages 517-545, May.
    17. Lo, Danny K. & Hall, Anthony D., 2015. "Resiliency of the limit order book," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 222-244.
    18. Ulrich Horst & Evgueni Kivman, 2021. "Optimal trade execution under small market impact and portfolio liquidation with semimartingale strategies," Papers 2103.05957, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    19. Danny Lo, 2015. "Essays in Market Microstructure and Investor Trading," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 22, July-Dece.
    20. Martin D. Gould & Mason A. Porter & Stacy Williams & Mark McDonald & Daniel J. Fenn & Sam D. Howison, 2013. "Limit order books," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(11), pages 1709-1742, November.
    21. Olivier Guéant & Charles-Albert Lehalle, 2015. "General Intensity Shapes In Optimal Liquidation," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 457-495, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:101:y:2019:i:c:p:17-40. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jedc .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.