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Optimal trade execution and price manipulation in order books with time-varying liquidity

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  • Antje Fruth
  • Torsten Schoeneborn
  • Mikhail Urusov

Abstract

In financial markets, liquidity is not constant over time but exhibits strong seasonal patterns. In this article we consider a limit order book model that allows for time-dependent, deterministic depth and resilience of the book and determine optimal portfolio liquidation strategies. In a first model variant, we propose a trading dependent spread that increases when market orders are matched against the order book. In this model no price manipulation occurs and the optimal strategy is of the wait region - buy region type often encountered in singular control problems. In a second model, we assume that there is no spread in the order book. Under this assumption we find that price manipulation can occur, depending on the model parameters. Even in the absence of classical price manipulation there may be transaction triggered price manipulation. In specific cases, we can state the optimal strategy in closed form.

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  • Antje Fruth & Torsten Schoeneborn & Mikhail Urusov, 2011. "Optimal trade execution and price manipulation in order books with time-varying liquidity," Papers 1109.2631, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1109.2631
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aur'elien Alfonsi & Antje Fruth & Alexander Schied, 2007. "Optimal execution strategies in limit order books with general shape functions," Papers 0708.1756, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2010.
    2. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Yuval Gefen & Marc Potters & Matthieu Wyart, 2003. "Fluctuations and response in financial markets: the subtle nature of `random' price changes," Papers cond-mat/0307332, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2003.
    3. Obizhaeva, Anna A. & Wang, Jiang, 2013. "Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-32.
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    8. Large, Jeremy, 2007. "Measuring the resiliency of an electronic limit order book," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, February.
    9. Aurelien Alfonsi & Antje Fruth & Alexander Schied, 2010. "Optimal execution strategies in limit order books with general shape functions," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 143-157.
    10. Robert Almgren, 2003. "Optimal execution with nonlinear impact functions and trading-enhanced risk," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18.
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    12. Gur Huberman & Werner Stanzl, 2004. "Price Manipulation and Quasi-Arbitrage," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(4), pages 1247-1275, July.
    13. Jim Gatheral, 2010. "No-dynamic-arbitrage and market impact," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(7), pages 749-759.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher Lorenz & Alexander Schied, 2013. "Drift dependence of optimal trade execution strategies under transient price impact," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 743-770, October.
    2. Siu, Chi Chung & Guo, Ivan & Zhu, Song-Ping & Elliott, Robert J., 2019. "Optimal execution with regime-switching market resilience," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 17-40.
    3. Aurélien Alfonsi & Florian Klöck & Alexander Schied, 2016. "Multivariate Transient Price Impact and Matrix-Valued Positive Definite Functions," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 41(3), pages 914-934, August.
    4. Julia Ackermann & Thomas Kruse & Mikhail Urusov, 2020. "C\`adl\`ag semimartingale strategies for optimal trade execution in stochastic order book models," Papers 2006.05863, arXiv.org.
    5. Ulrich Horst & Xiaonyu Xia, 2019. "Multi-dimensional optimal trade execution under stochastic resilience," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 889-923, October.
    6. Aurélien Alfonsi & José Infante Acevedo, 2014. "Optimal execution and price manipulations in time-varying limit order books," Post-Print hal-00687193, HAL.
    7. Wu, Liang & Yan, Xin & Fu, Zhiming & Zhang, Rui, 2019. "Do investors choose trade-size according to liquidity, empirical evidence from the S&P 500 index future market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 275-280.
    8. Guanxing Fu & Ulrich Horst & Xiaonyu Xia, 2020. "Portfolio Liquidation Games with Self-Exciting Order Flow," Papers 2011.05589, arXiv.org.
    9. Julia Ackermann & Thomas Kruse & Mikhail Urusov, 2020. "Optimal trade execution in an order book model with stochastic liquidity parameters," Papers 2006.05843, arXiv.org.
    10. Kashyap, Ravi, 2020. "David vs Goliath (You against the Markets), A dynamic programming approach to separate the impact and timing of trading costs," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    11. Ningyuan Chen & Steven Kou & Chun Wang, 2018. "A Partitioning Algorithm for Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Market Microstructure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(2), pages 784-803, February.

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