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A reinvestigation of the new RMB exchange rate regime

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  • Tian, Lei
  • Chen, Langnan

Abstract

To examine the new renminbi exchange rate regime rigorously, we employ the STARTZ model to investigate renminbi nominal effective exchange rate behavior from mid-2006 to mid-2008. A managed float with a target central parity and without an explicit band best describes the daily exchange rate movement between renminbi and other currencies. We also find some peculiar attributes of the renminbi nominal effective exchange rate, including small conditional variance and stronger effects from government interventions in foreign exchange markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Tian, Lei & Chen, Langnan, 2013. "A reinvestigation of the new RMB exchange rate regime," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 16-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:24:y:2013:i:c:p:16-25
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2012.09.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Frederik Kunze, 2020. "Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 313-333, March.
    2. Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2016. "Asymmetric loss and rationality of Chinese renminbi forecasts: An implication for the trade between China and the US," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 116-127.
    3. Qin, Jing & Lu, Xinsheng & Zhou, Ying & Qu, Ling, 2015. "The effectiveness of China’s RMB exchange rate reforms: An insight from multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 421(C), pages 443-454.
    4. Kunze, Frederik, 2017. "Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 326, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    5. Owyong, David & Wong, Wing-Keung & Horowitz, Ira, 2015. "Cointegration and causality among the onshore and offshore markets for China's currency," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 20-38.
    6. Sun, Yuying & Bao, Qin & Zheng, Jiali & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "Assessing the price dynamics of onshore and offshore RMB markets: An ITS model approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    7. Jarko Fidrmuc & Martin Siddiqui, 2015. "Exchange Rate Policy in China after the Financial Crisis: Evidence from Time-varying Exchange Rate Basket," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 608-623, August.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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