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The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country

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  • Seabra, Claudia
  • Reis, Pedro
  • Abrantes, José Luís

Abstract

This longitudinal study examines the impact that terrorist attacks within a representative group of European countries can have on the tourism demand of a South European country with no record of terrorism attacks. In order to analyze the connections between terrorist attacks and tourists' arrivals, occurred between 2002 and the end of 2016, an Unrestricted Vector Autoregressive model was used for multivariate time series analysis. The main results show that terrorist attacks have a strong impact on tourist arrivals and confirm the existence of terrorism spillover, namely the substitution and generalization effects phenomena.

Suggested Citation

  • Seabra, Claudia & Reis, Pedro & Abrantes, José Luís, 2020. "The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:80:y:2020:i:c:s0160738319301689
    DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2019.102811
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    14. Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah & Li, ShiNa & Song, Haiyan, 2020. "Social costs of tourism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
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    17. Choudhary, Sheraz Ahmad & Khan, Muhammad Azhar & Sheikh, Abdullah Zafar & Jabor, Mohd Khata & Nordin, Mohd Safarin bin & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Alotaibi, Saad M. & Abro, Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi & V, 2020. "Role of information and communication technologies on the war against terrorism and on the development of tourism: Evidence from a panel of 28 countries," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    18. Ana Maria Caldeira & Cláudia Seabra & Miral Sabry AlAshry, 2022. "Contrasting the COVID-19 Effects on Tourism Safety Perceptions and Coping Behavior among Young People during Two Pandemic Waves: Evidence from Egypt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-16, June.
    19. Muhammad Zubair Chishti & Daniel Balsalobre Lorente & Umit Bulut, 2024. "Exploring the Nexus Between Information And Communication Technologies, Globalization, Terrorism, and Tourism for South Asian Economies," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 1318-1343, March.
    20. Shan Wang & Ivan Ka-Wai Lai & Jose Weng-Chou Wong, 2022. "An Exploratory Study of Pandemic-Restricted Travel—A New Form of Travel Pattern on the during- and Post-COVID-19 Era," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-16, March.
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    22. Joyce Apple, 2023. "Disaster Risk Management Preparedness and Challenges of a Local Beach and Dive Resort in Southern Negros Occidental," Technium Business and Management, Technium Science, vol. 3(1), pages 1-24–58.

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