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The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country

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  • Seabra, Claudia
  • Reis, Pedro
  • Abrantes, José Luís

Abstract

This longitudinal study examines the impact that terrorist attacks within a representative group of European countries can have on the tourism demand of a South European country with no record of terrorism attacks. In order to analyze the connections between terrorist attacks and tourists' arrivals, occurred between 2002 and the end of 2016, an Unrestricted Vector Autoregressive model was used for multivariate time series analysis. The main results show that terrorist attacks have a strong impact on tourist arrivals and confirm the existence of terrorism spillover, namely the substitution and generalization effects phenomena.

Suggested Citation

  • Seabra, Claudia & Reis, Pedro & Abrantes, José Luís, 2020. "The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:80:y:2020:i:c:s0160738319301689
    DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2019.102811
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    8. Simplice A. Asongu & Mushfiqur Rahman & Richard Adu-Gyamfi & Raufhon Salahodjaev, 2022. "Tourism management synergies in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers 22/059, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
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    12. Raheem, Ibrahim D. & le Roux, Sara, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and tourism stocks: New evidence from causality-in-quantile approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-7.
    13. Mengen Zhang & HakJun Song, 2023. "A Study on the Structural Relationships between COVID-19 Coping Strategies, Positive Expectations, and the Behavioral Intentions of Various Tourism-Related Behaviors," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-17, January.
    14. Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah & Li, ShiNa & Song, Haiyan, 2020. "Social costs of tourism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    15. Arpan Kumar Kar & Sunil Kumar & P. Vigneswara Ilavarasan, 2021. "Modelling the Service Experience Encounters Using User-Generated Content: A Text Mining Approach," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 22(4), pages 267-288, December.
    16. repec:thr:techub:10031:y:2022:i:1:p:670-684 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Gilboa, Shaked & Seger-Guttmann, Tali & Partouche-Sebban, Judith, 2022. "Increasing customer loyalty and WOM in an age of terror: Cross-cultural development and validation of the customers’ reactions to terror scale (CRTS)," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    18. Choudhary, Sheraz Ahmad & Khan, Muhammad Azhar & Sheikh, Abdullah Zafar & Jabor, Mohd Khata & Nordin, Mohd Safarin bin & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Alotaibi, Saad M. & Abro, Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi & V, 2020. "Role of information and communication technologies on the war against terrorism and on the development of tourism: Evidence from a panel of 28 countries," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Ana Maria Caldeira & Cláudia Seabra & Miral Sabry AlAshry, 2022. "Contrasting the COVID-19 Effects on Tourism Safety Perceptions and Coping Behavior among Young People during Two Pandemic Waves: Evidence from Egypt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-16, June.
    20. Shan Wang & Ivan Ka-Wai Lai & Jose Weng-Chou Wong, 2022. "An Exploratory Study of Pandemic-Restricted Travel—A New Form of Travel Pattern on the during- and Post-COVID-19 Era," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-16, March.
    21. Rufei Zhang & Haizhen Zhang & Qingzhu Fan & Wang Gao & Xue Luo & Shixiong Yang, 2022. "Partisan Conflict, National Security Policy Uncertainty and Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, August.
    22. Joyce Apple, 2023. "Disaster Risk Management Preparedness and Challenges of a Local Beach and Dive Resort in Southern Negros Occidental," Technium Business and Management, Technium Science, vol. 3(1), pages 1-24–58.

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