IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/jocore/v48y2004i2p259-281.html

The Impact of Political Violence on Tourism

Author

Listed:
  • Eric Neumayer

    (Department of Geography and Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science)

Abstract

The hypothesis that political violence deters tourism is mainly based on case study evidence and a few quantitative studies confined to a small sample of countries. Two estimation techniques—a fixed-effects panel estimator with contemporaneous effects only and a dynamic generalized method of moments estimator—are used to test the impact of various forms of political violence on tourism. Both models show strong evidence that human rights violations, conflict, and other politically motivated violent events negatively affect tourist arrivals. In a dynamic model, even if autocratic regimes do not resort to violence, they have lower numbers of tourist arrivals than more democratic regimes. Results also show evidence for intraregional, negative spillover, and cross-regional substitution effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Neumayer, 2004. "The Impact of Political Violence on Tourism," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(2), pages 259-281, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:48:y:2004:i:2:p:259-281
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002703262358
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0022002703262358
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/0022002703262358?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew C. Harvey, 1990. "The Econometric Analysis of Time Series, 2nd Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 026208189x, December.
    2. Abraham Pizam & Ginger Smith, 2000. "Tourism and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis of Major Terrorist Acts and Their Impact on Tourism Destinations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 6(2), pages 123-138, June.
    3. Walter Enders & Todd Sandler & Gerald F. Parise, 1992. "An Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Terrorism on Tourism," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(4), pages 531-554, November.
    4. Konstantinos Drakos & Ali M. Kutan, 2003. "Regional Effects of Terrorism on Tourism in Three Mediterranean Countries," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 47(5), pages 621-641, October.
    5. M. Thea Sinclair, 1998. "Tourism and economic development: A survey," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(5), pages 1-51.
    6. James C. Murdoch & Todd Sandler, 2002. "Economic Growth, Civil Wars, and Spatial Spillovers," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 46(1), pages 91-110, February.
    7. repec:bla:kyklos:v:45:y:1992:i:4:p:531-54 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lakdawalla, Darius & Zanjani, George, 2005. "Insurance, self-protection, and the economics of terrorism," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(9-10), pages 1891-1905, September.
    2. Schmude Jürgen & Karl Marion & Weber Florian, 2020. "Tourism and Terrorism: Economic impact of terrorist attacks on the tourism industry. The example of the destination of Paris," ZFW – Advances in Economic Geography, De Gruyter, vol. 64(2), pages 88-102, June.
    3. Eric Neumayer & Thomas Plümper, 2016. "Spatial spill-overs from terrorism on tourism: Western victims in Islamic destination countries," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 195-206, December.
    4. Marion Karl & Gordon Winder & Alexander Bauer, 2017. "Terrorism and tourism in Israel," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(6), pages 1343-1352, September.
    5. Tomáš Krajňák, 2021. "The effects of terrorism on tourism demand: A systematic review," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(8), pages 1736-1758, December.
    6. Ahmed Muhamad Omer & Mehmet Yeşiltaş, 2020. "“Modeling the impact of wars and terrorism on tourism demand in Kurdistan region of Iraq”," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 19(3), pages 301-322, September.
    7. Abeer Elshennawy & Khalid Siddig, 2023. "Terrorism and inbound tourism in Egypt: Economy‐wide and distributional impacts," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 1910-1933, August.
    8. Khusrav Gaibulloev, 2008. "The Impact of Terrorism and Conflicts on Growth in Asia, 1970–2004," Working Papers id:1789, eSocialSciences.
    9. Steven Buigut & Djesika D. Amendah, 2016. "Effect of terrorism on demand for tourism in Kenya," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(5), pages 928-938, October.
    10. Seabra, Claudia & Reis, Pedro & Abrantes, José Luís, 2020. "The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Sandler, Todd & Enders, Walter, 2004. "An economic perspective on transnational terrorism," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 301-316, June.
    12. Campos, Nauro & Nugent, Jeffrey B, 2000. "Investment and Instability," CEPR Discussion Papers 2609, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    13. Eric Kehinde Ogunleye, 2011. "Emerging Evidence on the Relative Importance of Sectoral Sources of Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2011-061, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    14. Na Hou & Bo Chen, 2013. "Military Expenditure And Economic Growth In Developing Countries: Evidence From System Gmm Estimates," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 183-193, June.
    15. Walch, Florian & Dwenger, Nadja, 2011. "Tax Losses and Firm Investment: Evidence from Tax Statistics," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48699, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    16. Khusrav Gaibulloev & Todd Sandler & Donggyu Sul, "undated". "Reevaluating Terrorism and Economic Growth: Dynamic Panel Analysis and Cross-Sectional Dependence," Economics Working Papers 02-03/2013, School of Business Administration, American University of Sharjah.
    17. Jamil Shah & Zilakat Khan Malik & Umar Hayat, 2020. "The Dynamic Effects of Terrorism on Tourism: A Bound Testing Co-Integration Approach," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 44-57.
    18. Thomas Gries & Tim Krieger & Daniel Meierrieks, 2011. "Causal Linkages Between Domestic Terrorism and Economic Growth," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(5), pages 493-508, June.
    19. Dimitriou, Dimitrios & Goulas, Eleftherios & Kallandranis, Christos, 2025. "Spend on what? Insights on military spending efficiency," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    20. Anastasios Zopiatis & Christos S. Savva & Neophytos Lambertides & Michael McAleer, 2016. "Tourism Stocks in Times of Crises: An Econometric Investigation of Non-macro Factors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-104/III, Tinbergen Institute.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:48:y:2004:i:2:p:259-281. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://pss.la.psu.edu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.