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Real State Business Cycle and Real Estate Policies: The Case of Korea

Listed author(s):
  • Kim, k.
  • Suh, s.
  • Feridun, M.

    ()

Registered author(s):

    By using the rate of change in the price of land, the perception and analysis of determinants of the real estate business cycle, and the appraisal of past real estate policies have been proceeded. Korean real estate business cycle is asymmetric (i.e., the expansion and contraction period of which is 3 - 4 years and 8 - 9 years respectively). Effects of the determinants of real estate business cycles are dependent upon the phase of the cycle. Results of the regression, which explicitly include the quantified real estate policies, indicate that past real estate policies were myopic and very much cycle-dependent. It is also highly probable that pre-emptive policies of fixed rules may stabilize real estate prices more effectively than the past myopic ones. This implies that, in addition to cycle-dependent short-term real estate policies, it might be more desirable to sustain cycle-independent long-term real estate policies.

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    File URL: http://www.usc.es/economet/reviews/eers614.pdf
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    Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies.

    Volume (Year): 6 (2006)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages:

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    Handle: RePEc:eaa:eerese:v:6:y2006:i:6_4
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.usc.es/economet/eaa.htm

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    1. Ricks, R Bruce, 1969. "Imputed Equity Returns on Real Estate Financed with Life Insurance Company Loans," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 24(5), pages 921-937, December.
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    8. William C. Wheaton, 1999. "Real Estate "Cycles": Some Fundamentals," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 27(2), pages 209-230.
    9. Terence Khoo & David Hartzell & Martin Hoesli, 1993. "An Investigation of the Change in Real Estate Investment Trust Betas," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 21(2), pages 107-130.
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    11. Liu, Crocker H & Mei, Jianping, 1992. "The Predictability of Returns on Equity REITs and Their Co-movement with Other Assets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 401-418, December.
    12. Karl L. Guntermann & Richard L. Smith, 1987. "Derivation of Cost of Capital and Equity Rates from Market Data," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 15(2), pages 98-109.
    13. Brent W. Ambrose & Hugh O. Nourse, 1993. "Factors Influencing Capitalization Rates," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 8(2), pages 221-238.
    14. Waldo L. Born & Stephen A. Pyhrr, 1994. "Real Estate Valuation: The Effect of Market and Property Cycles," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 9(4), pages 455-486.
    15. William W. Alberts, 1962. "Business Cycles, Residential Construction Cycles, and the Mortgage Market," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 70, pages 263-263.
    16. Crocker H. Liu & Terry V. Grissom & David J. Hartzell, 1990. "The Impact of Market Imperfections on Real Estate Returns and Optimal Investor Portfolios," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 18(4), pages 453-478.
    17. Liu, Crocker H. & Hartzell, David J. & Greig, Wylie & Grissom, Terry V., 1990. "The Integration of the Real Estate Market and the Stock Market: Some Preliminary Evidence," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 261-282, September.
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