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Happy 20th birthday Euro: An integrated analysis of the stability status in the Eurozone’s equity markets

Author

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  • Bachar FAKHRY

    (University of Lahore, School of Accountancy & Finance, Lahore, Pakistan.)

Abstract

We celebrate the 20th anniversary of the introduction of the Euro by reviewing one of the key elements: the integration of the Eurozone financial markets. Introducing a multivariate volatility test based on the asymmetrical BEKK (ABEKK) multivariate GARCH model of volatility to analyse the stable market pre-condition hypothesis of the integrated Eurozone equity markets across the euro’s timeline. Extending our analysis to the impact of the rise of the populist political movement on the Eurozone financial markets during the last few years. The first and most important contribution is the introduction of a multivariate volatility test based on the ABEKK to analyse the stability of the integration in the Eurozone equity markets. However, another key contribution is the analysis of a period where the whole concept of European integration is coming into question by the rise of the populist political movement. This research could be of importance to the ECB in stabilising the Eurozone financial markets as well as market participants in portfolio optimization within the Eurozone. Our results point to a difference in financial market integration depending on the definition. The empirical evidence found that market participants tend to react differently according to the affinity of the market participants to the event/news. In essence, market participants are driven by the “time and space†effect. This would point to evidence that the Eurozone equity markets was never truly integrated in the econometrics sense as defined later on. However, our literature review did identify evidence that the Eurozone equity markets was integrated in accordance with the definition of Baele et al., (2004). Hence it really does depend on the definition used. Generally, our policy recommendations are for a committee to be setup to unify the communication and actions of the European Union during crises. A better way of communicating the work and concept of the European Union to the population. Finally, a slower paced policy of integration to overcome the sense of loss national identity which recently many are plying on

Suggested Citation

  • Bachar FAKHRY, 2019. "Happy 20th birthday Euro: An integrated analysis of the stability status in the Eurozone’s equity markets," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 227-256, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cvv:journ1:v:6:y:2019:i:1:p:227-256
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Christian Rudolf RICHTER & Bachar FAKHRY, 2016. "Testing the Efficiency of the GIPS Sovereign Debt Markets using an Asymmetrical Volatility Test," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 524-535, September.
    3. Fernandez, Viviana, 2008. "The war on terror and its impact on the long-term volatility of financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 1-26.
    4. Bachar Fakhry & Christian Richter, 2018. "Does the Federal Constitutional Court Ruling Mean the German Financial Market is Efficient?," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 4(2), pages 111-125.
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    6. Christian Rudolf RICHTER & Bachar FAKHRY, 2016. "Testing the Efficiency of the GIPS Sovereign Debt Markets using an Asymmetrical Volatility Test," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 524-535, September.
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    1. Bachar FAKHRY, 2021. "Towards an explanation of the Euro FX market reaction in the EU: A review of European integration during the EU crises," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1-42, March.
    2. Bachar FAKHRY, 2020. "From optimism to pessimism: The stability of the Euro FX market in the short and long run," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 261-283, December.

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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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