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Los efectos globo en los cultivos de coca en la región andina (1990-2009)

Author

Listed:
  • Leonardo Raffo López
  • Javier Andrés Castro
  • Alexander Díaz España

Abstract

El objetivo de este artículo es poner a prueba estadísticamente la presencia de efectos globo en los cultivos de coca en el territorio geográfico correspondiente a los principales países productores en la región andina (Colombia, Perú y Bolivia) durante el periodo 1990-2009. La metodología empírica se centra en la especificación y estimación de un modelo de ecuaciones simultáneas utilizando el método SUR, el cual permite explicar el comportamiento de las hectáreas cultivadas con coca en función de un conjunto de determinantes. Se concluye que hay evidencia empírica a favor de la presencia de efectos globo en la región andina a lo largo del periodo estudiado.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Raffo López & Javier Andrés Castro & Alexander Díaz España, 2016. "Los efectos globo en los cultivos de coca en la región andina (1990-2009)," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 35(61), pages 207-2036, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000152:014426
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    File URL: http://revistas.uptc.edu.co/revistas/index.php/cenes/article/view/3426/3583
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mejia, Daniel & Restrepo, Pascual, 2016. "The economics of the war on illegal drug production and trafficking," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 126(PA), pages 255-275.
    2. Moreno-Sanchez, Rocio & Kraybill, David S. & Thompson, Stanley R., 2003. "An Econometric Analysis of Coca Eradication Policy in Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 375-383, February.
    3. Stella M. Rouse & Moises Arce, 2006. "The Drug‐Laden Balloon: U.S. Military Assistance and Coca Production in the Central Andes," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 87(3), pages 540-557, September.
    4. Gary S. Becker & Kevin M. Murphy & Michael Grossman, 2006. "El mercado de bienes ilegales: el caso de la droga," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 8(15), pages 17-42, July-Dece.
    5. Gary S. Becker & Kevin M. Murphy & Michael Grossman, 2006. "The Market for Illegal Goods: The Case of Drugs," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 114(1), pages 38-60, February.
    6. Carlos Ortiz, 2003. "La guerra contra las drogas es contrapruducente : un analisis economico de equilibrio general," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 58, pages 47-68, Enero-Jun.
    7. Carlos Humberto Ortiz, 2009. "The War on Drugs is Counterproductive, Once Again," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 71, pages 19-42.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Leonardo Raffo López & José Luis Segura, 2018. "La ineficacia de las políticas de represión a la oferta de drogas: una explicación alternativa," Ensayos de Economía 16782, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.
    2. Eleonora Dávalos & Leonardo Fabio Morales, 2019. "Is there a balloon effect? Coca crops and forced eradication in Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo CIEF 17350, Universidad EAFIT.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    efecto globo; ecuaciones estructurales; cultivos ilícitos; modelo SUR; guerra contra las drogas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • N56 - Economic History - - Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment and Extractive Industries - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices

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