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La guerra contra las drogas es contrapruducente : un analisis economico de equilibrio general

Author

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  • Carlos Ortiz

Abstract

La represión de la oferta de drogas ilícitas es analizada en un contexto de equilibrio general. Los riesgos de la actividad productora de drogas son explícitamente considerados y las drogas son pensadas como bienes básicos. El modelo estático arroja que la represión de la oferta de drogas amplifica la oferta incrementando su rentabilidad. Adicionalmente, en un contexto de economía abierta la mayor demanda del mercado mundial induce una mayor especialización del país productor de drogas. Finalmente, una versión dinámica del modelo arroja que la represión de la oferta de drogas disminuye la tasa de crecimiento económico tanto en el corto como en el largo plazo. Por consiguiente, estos modelos predicen que la represión de la oferta de drogas ilícitas no es sólo inútil sino también contraproducente.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Ortiz, 2003. "La guerra contra las drogas es contrapruducente : un analisis economico de equilibrio general," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 58, pages 47-68, Enero-Jun.
    • Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:2003:i:58:p:47-68
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    File URL: https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/lecturasdeeconomia/issue/view/308
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    Cited by:

    1. Leonardo Raffo López & José Luis Segura, 2015. "Las redes del narcotráfico y sus interacciones: un modelo teórico," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 17(32), pages 183-212, January-J.
    2. Lim, King Yoong & Morris, Diego, 2020. "The economics of the illicit drugs-for-guns trade and growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 218-232.
    3. Leonardo Raffo López, 2015. "Law enforcement and drug trafficking networks: a simple model," Documentos de Trabajo 13014, Universidad del Valle, CIDSE.
    4. Leonardo Raffo López & Javier Andrés Castro & Alexander Díaz España, 2016. "Los efectos globo en los cultivos de coca en la región andina (1990-2009)," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 35(61), pages 207-2036, January.

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