IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifosdt/v66y2013i10p03-18.html

Führt die Geldpolitik der japanischen Zentralbank zu einem Währungskrieg?

Author

Listed:
  • Jürgen Matthes
  • Horst Löchel
  • Uwe Vollmer
  • Oliver Landmann

Abstract

Beginnt die japanische Notenbank mit ihrer lockeren Geldpolitik einen Abwertungswettlauf? Jürgen Matthes, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln, vertritt die These, dass derzeit nicht von einem echten Währungskrieg die Rede sein kann, dass es jedoch gewisse Anzeichen für eine mögliche Verschärfung der Situation gibt. Zudem könnte der Euro mittelfristig unter erheblichen Aufwertungsdruck und die EZB damit in konfliktreiches Fahrwasser geraten. Horst Löchel, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, ist der Ansicht, dass aus Perspektive der entwickelten Volkswirtschaften Japan keinen Währungskrieg führt, denn auch die Fed und die EZB fluten im Rahmen ihrer Krisenpolitik seit Jahren die Märkte mit billigem Geld. Anders sei aber die japanische Geldpolitik aus der Perspektive der aufstrebenden Volkswirtschaften zu beurteilen. Für sie folge aus dem Kurs der japanischen Geldpolitik, dass noch mehr Kapital in ihre Länder fließe, was mit der Gefahr der Bildung von Vermögensblasen, einer Kreditschwemme, steigender Inflationsraten und steigender Wechselkurse einhergehe. Uwe Vollmer, Universität Leipzig, hält den Begriff Währungskrieg für übertrieben. Anders als andere Länder halte sich Japan bislang an die internationalen Spielregeln, verzichte auf die Einführung von Kapitalverkehrskontrollen und verfolge auch kein explizites Wechselkursziel. Und auch Oliver Landmann, Universität Freiburg, hält »das Gespenst eines drohenden Währungskriegs« für »einen Mythos«.

Suggested Citation

  • Jürgen Matthes & Horst Löchel & Uwe Vollmer & Oliver Landmann, 2013. "Führt die Geldpolitik der japanischen Zentralbank zu einem Währungskrieg?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(10), pages 03-18, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:66:y:2013:i:10:p:03-18
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifosd_2013_10_1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Taylor, John B., 2013. "International monetary coordination and the great deviation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 463-472.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Dreger, Christian, 2017. "The relevance of international spillovers and asymmetric effects in the Taylor rule," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 162-170.
    2. Nihar Shah, 2022. "Doubly heterogeneous monetary spillovers," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 126-150, August.
    3. Federico M. Giesenow & Jakob de Haan, 2019. "The influence of government ideology on monetary policy: New cross‐country evidence based on dynamic heterogeneous panels," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 216-239, July.
    4. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Helmi, Mohamad Husam & Çatık, Abdurrahman Nazif & Menla Ali, Faek & Akdeniz, Coşkun, 2018. "Monetary policy rules in emerging countries: Is there an augmented nonlinear taylor rule?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 306-319.
    5. Hiroyasu INOUE & Yohsuke MURASE & Yasuyuki TODO, 2022. "Lockdowns Require Geographic Coordination because of the Propagation of Economic Effects through Supply Chains," Discussion papers 22076, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    6. Mishra, Akanksha & Dubey, Amlendu, 2025. "The impact of restrictive monetary policy in emerging countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 915-927.
    7. Ca' Zorzi, Michele & Dedola, Luca & Georgiadis, Georgios & Jarociński, Marek & Stracca, Livio & Strasser, Georg, 2020. "Monetary policy and its transmission in a globalised world," Working Paper Series 2407, European Central Bank.
    8. Fang‐Shuo Chang & Shiu‐Sheng Chen & Po‐Yuan Wang, 2020. "Politics and the UK's monetary policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 67(5), pages 486-522, November.
    9. Gupta, Rangan & Stander, Lardo, 2018. "Endogenous fluctuations in an endogenous growth model: An analysis of inflation targeting as a policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-8.
    10. Muhammad Ali Rizwan & Muhammad Zeeshan Younas & Hafiza Sadaf Zahra & Zartaj Jamil, 2020. "External Monetary Constraints Imposed by Developed Economies on Developing Economies: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(1), pages 7-29, March.
    11. Jose Eduardo Gomez-Gonzalez & Juliana Gamboa-Arbeláez & Jorge Hirs-Garzón & Andrés Pinchao-Rosero, 2018. "When Bubble Meets Bubble: Contagion in OECD Countries," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 546-566, May.
    12. Breitenlechner, Max & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2022. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 45-60.
    13. Kesavarajah Mayandy, 2019. "Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence from Sri Lanka," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 485-506, December.
    14. Cour-Thimann, Philippine & Jung, Alexander, 2021. "Interest-rate setting and communication at the ECB in its first twenty years," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    15. Chen, Xiaoshan & Kirsanova, Tatiana & Leith, Campbell, 2017. "An empirical assessment of Optimal Monetary Policy in the Euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 95-115.
    16. Bordo, Michael & Monnet, Eric & Naef, Alain, 2019. "The Gold Pool (1961–1968) and the Fall of the Bretton Woods System: Lessons for Central Bank Cooperation," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 79(4), pages 1027-1059, December.
    17. Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2017. "It ain’t over till it’s over: A global perspective on the Great Moderation-Great Recession interconnection," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(49), pages 4946-4969, October.
    18. José Aguilar & Ricardo Quineche, 2025. "Regional Inflation Spillovers and Monetary Policy Design: Evidence from Peru's Successful InflationTargeting Framework," Working Papers 2025-016, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    19. Kavli, Haakon & Viegi, Nicola, 2015. "Portfolio Flows in a two-country RBC model with financial intermediaries," MPRA Paper 66875, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2015.
    20. Haakon Kavli & Nicola Viegi, 2017. "Are Determinants of Portfolio Flows Always the Same? - South African Results from a Time Varying Parameter Var Model," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 85(1), pages 3-27, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:66:y:2013:i:10:p:03-18. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.