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Les déterminants du risque d'insolvabilité dans l'industrie bancaire.. Une approche en termes de frontière de production

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  • Joël Petey

Abstract

Le risque d'insolvabilité d'une institution financière résulte de ses choix d'investissement, de financement et de capitalisation. Cet article propose une application à l'industrie bancaire française d'une méthodologie développée par Hughes et Moon (1996) permettant une estimation jointe de l'espérance de profit et de sa variance à partir d'une fonction de dépense dérivée du Système Presque Idéal de Demande. En considérant le risque comme l'input unique du processus de production du profit, on construit une frontière rendement risque de l'industrie bancaire à partir de laquelle sont calculés des scores d'efficience selon la méthode DE A. Bien que le risque de l'actif apparaisse comme une fonction croissante de la capitalisation, le risque d'insolvabilité est décroissant dans la capitalisation. L'effet de la taille se traduit essentiellement par un risque de crédit accru pour les grandes banques relativement spécialisées sur ce segment d'activité.
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  • Joël Petey, 2004. "Les déterminants du risque d'insolvabilité dans l'industrie bancaire.. Une approche en termes de frontière de production," Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 70(4), pages 401-424.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:reldbu:rel_704_401
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    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity

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