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Modeling Of Volatility In The Romanian Capital Market

Author

Listed:
  • OPREANA Claudiu

    (Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Romania)

  • BRATIAN Vasile

    (Lucian Blaga University of sibiu, Romania)

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the volatility of capital market in Romania by selecting a portfolio of representative indices (BET BET_FI and RASDAQ_C). In this respect, we want to identify the most appropriate model to estimate volatility by using modern econometric tools and useful GARCH models respectively. The study results highlight that EGARCH(1,1) model has managed to eliminate all traces of statistically significant autocorrelation and ARCH effects from the residuals from daily series, giving an accurate image of the Romanian capital market volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • OPREANA Claudiu & BRATIAN Vasile, 2012. "Modeling Of Volatility In The Romanian Capital Market," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 7(3), pages 113-128, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:blg:journl:v:7:y:2012:i:3:p:133-128
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    File URL: http://eccsf.ulbsibiu.ro/RePEc/blg/journl/739opreana&bratian.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    2. Radu Lupu & Iulia Lupu, 2007. "Testing for Heteroskedasticity on the Bucharest Stock Exchange," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 10(23), pages 19-28, June.
    3. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim & Chou, Ray Y. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1992. "ARCH modeling in finance : A review of the theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 5-59.
    5. Oana Mădălina PREDESCU & Stelian STANCU, 2011. "Portfolio Risk Analysis using ARCH and GARCH Models in the Context of the Global Financial Crisis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(555)), pages 75-88, February.
    6. Miron, Dumitru & Tudor, Cristiana, 2010. "Asymmetric Conditional Volatility Models: Empirical Estimation and Comparison of Forecasting Accuracy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), September.
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