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A Comparative Anatomy of Residential REITs and Private Real Estate Markets: Returns, Risks and Distributional Characteristics

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  • John Cotter
  • Richard Roll

Abstract

type="main"> Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are the only truly liquid assets related to residential real estate investments. We study the behavior of U.S. Residential REITs over the past three decades and document their return characteristics. REITs have somewhat less market risk than equity; their betas against a broad market index average about 0.58. Decomposing their covariances into principal components reveals several strong factors. Residential REIT characteristics differ to some extent from those of the S&P/Case-Shiller (SCS) private real estate markets. This is partly attributable to methods of index construction. Our examination of REITs suggests that investment in residential real estate is far more risky than what might be inferred from the widely followed SCS series. Although the SCS and REITs indicate little support for being able to predict each other, there is strong evidence of self-predictability for the series.

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  • John Cotter & Richard Roll, 2015. "A Comparative Anatomy of Residential REITs and Private Real Estate Markets: Returns, Risks and Distributional Characteristics," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 43(1), pages 209-240, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:43:y:2015:i:1:p:209-240
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/1540-6229.12059
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    3. Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio & Milena Petrova, 2019. "The Predictability of Real Estate Excess Returns: An Out-of-Sample Economic Value Analysis," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19122, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    4. Brent W. Ambrose & Brad Case & Seow Eng Ong, 2015. "Introduction to the Special Issue," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 43(1), pages 1-7, March.
    5. Robbie Lin & Chyi Lin Lee & Graeme Newell, 2019. "The significance of Residential REITs in Japan as an Institutionalized property sector," ERES eres2019_122, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    6. Yujing Yang & Wenzhe Tang, 2018. "Research on a 3D Predator-Prey Evolutionary System in Real Estate Market," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-13, February.
    7. Kraft, Holger & Munk, Claus & Weiss, Farina, 2017. "Predictors and portfolios over the life cycle: Skill vs. luck," SAFE Working Paper Series 139, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    8. Yunus, Nafeesa, 2020. "Time-varying linkages among gold, stocks, bonds and real estate," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 165-185.

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