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The Optimal Lifetime Of Assets Under Uncertainty In The Rate Of Embodied Technical Change

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  • George C. Bitros

Abstract

I investigate the effects of uncertainty regarding the rate of embodied technical change on the lifetime of assets using a model where: (1) technical change increases continuously the productivity of producers' durables, (2) potential competition induces firms to pass all benefits from productivity improvements to consumers, and (3) the mean and the variance are considered sufficient statistics to describe the probability distribution of technological change. I find that in general this type of uncertainty shortens the optimal lifetime of assets. However, the robustness of the results under alternative specifications of the probability distribution of technological change remains an open question. Copyright © 2008 The Author.

Suggested Citation

  • George C. Bitros, 2008. "The Optimal Lifetime Of Assets Under Uncertainty In The Rate Of Embodied Technical Change," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(2), pages 173-188, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:metroe:v:59:y:2008:i:2:p:173-188
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Morton I. Kamien & Nancy L. Schwartz, 1971. "Optimal Maintenance and Sale Age for a Machine Subject to Failure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 17(8), pages 495-504, April.
    2. Georgios Bitros, 2005. "Some Novel Implications of Replacemnt and Scrapping," Macroeconomics 0504029, EconWPA.
    3. Fuss, Melvyn & McFadden, Daniel, 1978. "Production Economics: A Dual Approach to Theory and Applications (I): The Theory of Production," History of Economic Thought Books, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, volume 1, number fuss1978.
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    Cited by:

    1. George Bitros, 2008. "Why the structure of capital and the useful lives of its components matter: A test based on a model of Austrian descent," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 21(4), pages 301-328, December.
    2. Dimitrios Koumparoulis, 2011. "The Proportionality Hypothesis in Capital Theory: an Assessment of the Literature," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 27, pages 27-39, February.
    3. Bitros, George C. & Nadiri, M. Ishaq, 2017. "Elasticities of Business Investment in the U.S. and their Policy Implications: A Disaggregate Approach to Modeling and Estimation," MPRA Paper 80091, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Bitros, George C., 2016. "A theory of maintenance expenditures tested on automobile data from Greece," MPRA Paper 70820, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. George Bitros, 2010. "The theorem of proportionality in contemporary capital theory: An assessment of its conceptual foundations," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 23(4), pages 367-401, December.
    6. Bitros, George C., 2009. "The Theorem of Proportionality in Mainstream Capital Theory: An Assessment of its Applicability," MPRA Paper 17821, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O22 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Project Analysis
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity

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