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Interactions Between Public and Private Investment: Evidence from Developing Countries

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  • Erdal Atukeren

Abstract

This study examines the linkages between public investments and private investments by using Granger-causality and cointegration tests and probit analysis in a sample of 25 developing countries. The results from the cointegration and Granger-causality tests are further analysed in a probit framework by assigning the dependent variable the value '1' for the 'crowding-out' cases and '0' otherwise, and the explanatory variables are various components of Gwartney and Lawson's (2004) economic freedom of the world index. Using this approach, we find that the higher the share of government involvement in an economy, the lower the trade openness; the more restrictions there are on the use of foreign currencies, and the more stable and developed the macro and monetary environment is, the higher the likelihood that public investments may crowd out private investments. The model correctly predicts 10 out of 11 cases of crowding-out and 13 out of 14 cases of no-crowding-out. Copyright 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd..

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  • Erdal Atukeren, 2005. "Interactions Between Public and Private Investment: Evidence from Developing Countries," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(3), pages 307-330, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:kyklos:v:58:y:2005:i:3:p:307-330
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    Cited by:

    1. Ghassan, Hassan B., 2011. "Public and Private Investment in Saudi Economy: Evidence from Weak Exogeneity and Bound Cointegration Tests," MPRA Paper 56537, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ghassan, Hassan & Alhajhoj, Hassan, 2010. "الارتباط الحركي بين الاستثمار في مؤسسات القطاع الحكومي والاستثمار الخاص عبر نموذج التقهقر الذاتي البنيوي: حالة الاقتصاد السعودي
      [The Dynamic Relationship between the Investment in Public and Privat
      ," MPRA Paper 54398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Bjorvatn, Kjetil & Coniglio, Nicola Daniele, 2012. "Big push or big failure? On the effectiveness of industrialization policies for economic development," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, pages 129-141.
    4. Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya, 2014. "Crowding-Out or Crowding-In? Analyzing the Effects of Government Spending on Private Investment in Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, pages 617-630.
    5. BOUNADER, Lahcen, 2016. "Is there a crowding-out effect in the Moroccan context ? Evidence from structural VAR Analysis," MPRA Paper 69275, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Alberto Bucci & Chiara Del Bo, 2009. "On the interaction between public investment and private capital in economic growth," UNIMI - Research Papers in Economics, Business, and Statistics unimi-1092, Universitá degli Studi di Milano.
    7. Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Khan, Saniya, 2008. "The Determinants of Private Investment and the Relationship between Public and Private Investment in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 49301, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Syed, Shabib Haider & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq, 2007. "Public Policy and Private Investment in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 57675, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Hassan B. GHASSAN & Hassan R. ALHAJHOJ, 2012. "Bound Cointegration Test on Private Investment’s Equation: Evidence from Saudi Economy," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 12(1).
    10. Noel D. Campbell & Andres Jauregui & Kirk C. Heriot, 2008. "Housing Prices and Economic Freedom," Journal of Private Enterprise, The Association of Private Enterprise Education, pages 1-17.
    11. Hernán Herrera Echeverri & Haar, Jerry & Juan Benavides Estévez-Bretón, 2013. "Foreign Investment, Institutional Quality, Public Expenditure And Activity Of Venture Capital Funds In Emerging Countries," DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO CIEF 011808, UNIVERSIDAD EAFIT.
    12. Tomomi Miyazaki, 2016. "Interactions between Regional Public and Private Investment: Evidence from Japanese Prefectures," Discussion Papers 1608, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    13. Ward Romp & Jakob de Haan, 2007. "Public Capital and Economic Growth: A Critical Survey," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, pages 6-52.
    14. Barañano Mentxaka, Ilaski & San Martín Lizarralde, Marta, 2014. "Foreign Aid Linked to Infrastructure and/or Pollution Abatement," IKERLANAK Ikerlanak;2014-78, Universidad del País Vasco - Departamento de Fundamentos del Análisis Económico I.
    15. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Public Investment and Fiscal Performance in the New EU Member States," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, pages 43-71.
    16. Herrera-Echeverri Hernán & Haar Jerry & Estevez-Bretón Juan Benavides, 2014. "Foreign Investment, Institutional Quality, Public Expenditure, and Activity of Venture Capital Funds in Emerging Market Countries," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, pages 1-36.
    17. Erdal Atukeren, 2006. "Politico-Economic Determinants of the Crowding-in Effects of Public Investments in Developing Countries," KOF Working papers 06-126, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    18. Jagannath Mallick, 2013. "Private investment in India: regional patterns and determinants," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, pages 515-536.
    19. Alberto Bucci & Chiara Del Bo, 2012. "On the interaction between public and private capital in economic growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, pages 133-152.
    20. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Vazba korupce a hospodářské svobody na veřejné finance a investice nových členů EU
      [Corruption and Economic Freedom Links to Public Finance and Investment in New EU Members]
      ," Politická ekonomie, University of Economics, Prague, pages 310-328.
    21. Nikopour, Hesam & Shah Habibullah, Muzafar, 2010. "Shadow Economy and Poverty," MPRA Paper 23599, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Ward Romp & Jakob de Haan, 2007. "Public Capital and Economic Growth: A Critical Survey," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, pages 6-52.
    23. Chiara DEL BO, 2009. "Recent advances in public investment, fiscal policy and growth," Departmental Working Papers 2009-25, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.

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