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Pricing U.S. Dollar Index Futures Options: An Empirical Investigation

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  • Vivek Bhargava
  • John M. Clark

Abstract

This paper develops a pricing model and empirically tests the pricing efficiency of options on the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) futures contract. Empirical tests of the model indicate that the market consistently overprices these options relative to the derived model. This overpricing is more pronounced for out‐of‐the‐money options than for in‐the‐money options and more pronounced for put options than for call options. To validate the above results, delta neutral portfolios are created for one‐ and two‐day holding periods and consistently generate positive arbitrage profits, indicating that on average the market overprices the options on the USDX futures contracts.

Suggested Citation

  • Vivek Bhargava & John M. Clark, 2003. "Pricing U.S. Dollar Index Futures Options: An Empirical Investigation," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 38(4), pages 571-590, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:38:y:2003:i:4:p:571-590
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6288.00061
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Giannetti, Antoine & Clark, John M. & Anderson, Randy I., 2004. "Model risk and option hedging," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 659-677, December.
    2. Salmon, Mark & Schleicher, Christoph & Hurd, Matthew, 2005. "Using Copulas to Construct Bivariate Foreign Exchange Distributions with an Application to the Sterling Exchange Rate Index," CEPR Discussion Papers 5114, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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