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The Impact Of Exchange Rate Movements On Foreign Direct Investment: Market‐Oriented Versus Cost‐Oriented

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  • Kun‐Ming CHEN
  • Hsiu‐Hua RAU
  • Chia‐Ching LIN

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of exchange rate movements on foreign direct investment (FDI). We first employ a real options model to show that while the depreciation of a host country's currency tends to stimulate FDI activity of cost‐oriented firms, the depreciation tends to deter FDI activity for market‐oriented firms. With industry panel data on Taiwan's outward FDI into China over the period 1991–2002, our empirical findings indicate that the exchange rate level and its volatility in addition to the relative wage rate have had a significant impact on Taiwanese firms’ outward FDI into China. In general, the empirical results are consistent with the prediction of the theory. Our results reveal that the relationship between exchange rates and FDI is crucially dependent on the motives of the investing firms. Without considering this fact in an empirical model, the testing results might suffer from aggregations bias.

Suggested Citation

  • Kun‐Ming CHEN & Hsiu‐Hua RAU & Chia‐Ching LIN, 2006. "The Impact Of Exchange Rate Movements On Foreign Direct Investment: Market‐Oriented Versus Cost‐Oriented," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 44(3), pages 269-287, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:deveco:v:44:y:2006:i:3:p:269-287
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1746-1049.2006.00017.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Kun-Ming Chen & Shu-Fei Yang, 2013. "Impact of Outward Foreign Direct Investment on Domestic R&D Activity: Evidence from Taiwan's Multinational Enterprises in Low-wage Countries," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 27(1), pages 17-38, March.
    3. Nagubadi, Rao V. & Zhang, Daowei, 2011. "Bilateral foreign direct investment in forest industry between the U.S. and Canada," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(5), pages 338-344, June.
    4. Takagi, Shinji & Shi, Zongying, 2011. "Exchange rate movements and foreign direct investment (FDI): Japanese investment in Asia, 1987–2008," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 265-272.
    5. Chiang, Shu-Mei & Lee, Yen-Hsien & Su, Hsin-Mei & Tzou, Yi-Pin, 2010. "Efficiency tests of foreign exchange markets for four Asian Countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 284-294, September.
    6. S. Veeramani & Abha Shukla & Mariam Jamaleh, 2020. "Financial theories of foreign direct investment: a review of literature," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(2), pages 185-217, June.
    7. Chia-Ching Lin & Kun-Ming Chen & Hsiu-Hua Rau, 2010. "Exchange Rate Volatility and the Timing of Foreign Direct Investment: Market-Seeking versus Export-Substituting," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(s1), pages 466-486, August.
    8. Li, Richard (Ziyuan), 2017. "An Analysis of the Impact of RMB Depreciation on Hong Kong," Studies in Applied Economics 83, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
    9. Zerin Jannat, 2020. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: Evidence from South Asia," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 10(3), pages 101-116.
    10. Warren Moraghen & Boopen Seetanah & Noor Sookia, 2019. "Explaining Heterogeneity in the Effect of the Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment: A Meta‐Analysis Approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 31(3), pages 275-291, September.
    11. Jay, Squalli, 2011. "Is the dollar peg suitable for the largest economies of the Gulf Cooperation Council?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 496-512, October.

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