IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bjc/journl/v8y2022i8p17-24.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Empirical Evaluation of the Causality between Real GDP and Unemployment Rate in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Igwe, Justice Ibeabuchi

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Science, Ignatius Ajuru University of Education, Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria)

Abstract

This study examined the causality between Real GDP and unemployment rate in Nigeria. The hypothesis of this study is anchored on Okun’s law. Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin and National Bureau of Statistics was collected on Real GDP and unemployment rate from 1981-2019. This study employed the correlation test and pairwise causality test to determine the relationship-causality between Real GDP and the Unemployment rate in Nigeria. This study found a 65.93 percent correlation between Real GDP and the unemployment rate. The pairwise causality result shows that there is unidirectional causality between the unemployment rate and Real GDP. The transmission of causality asserts that unemployment granger causes Real GDP. This implies that employment of factor resources brings about high productivity that leads to an increase in Real GDP hence growth. This paper recommends the adoption of fiscal and easing monetary policy to boost firm’s absorptive capacity in the country. This policy will stimulate job creation which will in turn accelerate growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Igwe, Justice Ibeabuchi, 2021. "Empirical Evaluation of the Causality between Real GDP and Unemployment Rate in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 8(8), pages 17-24, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bjc:journl:v:8:y:2022:i:8:p:17-24
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrsi/digital-library/volume-8-issue-8/17-24.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/virtual-library/papers/empirical-evaluation-of-the-causality-between-real-gdp-and-unemployment-rate-in-nigeria/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carsten Trenkler, 2008. "Determining p-values for systems cointegration tests with a prior adjustment for deterministic terms," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 19-39, January.
    2. Judith Giles & Cara Williams, 2001. "Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 2," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 445-470.
    3. John Thornton, 2001. "Population Growth and Economic Growth: Long‐Run Evidence from Latin America," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(2), pages 464-468, October.
    4. Czujack, Corinna & Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Ginsburgh, Victor, 1995. "On long-run price comovements between paintings and prints," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 269, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    5. F. Vahid & R. F. Engle, 1993. "Common Trends And Common Cycles," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(4), pages 341-360, October.
    6. Charlotte du Toit & Reneéa Koekemoer, 2003. "A Labour Model For South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 71(1), pages 49-76, March.
    7. Norman Swanson & Nii Ayi Armah, 2006. "Predictive Inference Under Model Misspecification with an Application to Assessing the Marginal Predictive Content of Money for Output," Departmental Working Papers 200619, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    8. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid, 2013. "Dynamic relationships between oil revenues, government spending and economic growth in an oil-dependent economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 118-125.
    9. Melike E. Bildirici, 2020. "Environmental pollution, hydropower and nuclear energy generation before and after catastrophe: Bathtub‐Weibull curve and MS‐VECM methods," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 289-310, November.
    10. De Vita, Glauco & Abbott, Andrew, 2002. "Are saving and investment cointegrated? An ARDL bounds testing approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 293-299, October.
    11. Ying Kou & Liming Liu & Meifeng Luo, 2014. "Lead-lag relationship between new-building and second-hand ship prices," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 303-327, July.
    12. Atle Oglend & Hans‐Martin Straume, 2020. "Futures market hedging efficiency in a new futures exchange: Effects of trade partner diversification," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 617-631, April.
    13. Santos, João & Domingos, Tiago & Sousa, Tânia & St. Aubyn, Miguel, 2016. "Does a small cost share reflect a negligible role for energy in economic production? Testing for aggregate production functions including capital, labor, and useful exergy through a cointegration-base," MPRA Paper 70850, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Gao Lu Zou & Kwong Wing Chau, 2015. "Determinants and Sustainability of House Prices: The Case of Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-25, April.
    15. Law, Siong Hook & Tan, Hui & baharumshah, ahmad, 1999. "Financial Liberalization in ASEAN and the Fisher Hypothesis," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 33, pages 65-86.
    16. Bloch, Harry & Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa & Salim, Ruhul, 2015. "Economic growth with coal, oil and renewable energy consumption in China: Prospects for fuel substitution," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 104-115.
    17. Rainer Thiele, 2003. "Price Incentives, Non‐price Factors and Agricultural Production in Sub‐Saharan Africa: A Cointegration Analysis," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 15(2‐3), pages 425-438.
    18. Litsios, Ioannis & Pilbeam, Keith, 2017. "An empirical analysis of the nexus between investment, fiscal balances and current account balances in Greece, Portugal and Spain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 143-152.
    19. Costas Milas, 2009. "Does high M4 money growth trigger large increases in UK inflation? Evidence from a regime-switching model," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 61(1), pages 168-182, January.
    20. Gevorkyan, Arkady & Semmler, Willi, 2016. "Oil price, overleveraging and shakeout in the shale energy sector — Game changers in the oil industry," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 244-259.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bjc:journl:v:8:y:2022:i:8:p:17-24. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Renu Malsaria (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrsi/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.