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Future Plans of Bulgarian Circular Migrants: Empirical Evidence from Bus Travelers

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  • Venelin Boshnakov

Abstract

The paper provides evidence about the future plans of Bulgarian migrants that use regular bus lines to travel to the European destination countries. The analysis utilizes data from a questionnaire survey conducted in 2018 among 305 migrants interviewed at the major nodes of the international bus transport infrastructure in Bulgaria. The future plans of these migrants are focused mainly on: (i) continuing their life in both home and host countries or (ii) searching for options to stay abroad for a longer period. In the same time, non-negligible shares of respondents (iii) still hesitate about their future plans or (iv) have expressed intentions to stay permanently in Bulgaria. Using multinomial logistic regression model, a set of variables that reflect: (a) socio-demographic status, and (b) the migration experience have been tested for potential significant effects on the choice reflecting the individual future plans of respondents.

Suggested Citation

  • Venelin Boshnakov, 2019. "Future Plans of Bulgarian Circular Migrants: Empirical Evidence from Bus Travelers," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 80-94.
    • Handle: RePEc:bas:econst:y:2019:i:1:p:80-94
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Amelie Constant & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2007. "Circular Migration: Counts of Exits and Years away from the Host Country," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 718, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Vesselin Mintchev, 2016. "Settlers and Temporary Migrants in Germany (Results of empirical survey of individuals travelling by busses from Bulgaria to Germany)," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 143-158.
    3. Irena Zareva, 2018. "Returning migrants – Effects on the Labour Market in Bulgaria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 102-114.
    4. Vesselin Mintchev, 2016. "Potential and Return Migrants in Bulgaria – Demographic and Socio-Economic Aspects," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 91-115.
    5. Dotcho Mihailov, 2016. "Bus or Plane? Profiles of Bulgarian Travellers to Switzerland," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 79-90.
    6. Vesselin Mintchev, 2009. "International Migration and Remittances in the Balkans: The Case of Bulgaria," Chapters, in: Ewald Nowotny & Peter Mooslechner & Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald (ed.), The Integration of European Labour Markets, chapter 9, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. Irena Zareva, 2018. "Policies for Encouraging the Return of Bulgarian Migrants to Bulgaria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 65-79.
    8. Amelie F. Constant & Klaus F. Zimmermann (ed.), 2013. "International Handbook on the Economics of Migration," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 4026, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Irena Zareva, 2021. "(Re) Integration of Returning Migrants into the Economic Life in Bulgaria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 19-34.
    2. Vesselin Mintchev & Venelin Boshnakov, 2021. "Return Migration and Remittances: Recent Empirical Evidence for Bulgaria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 56-75.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination

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