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Grawitacyjny model zróżnicowania rozwoju ekonomicznego województw

Author

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  • Mroczek, Katarzyna
  • Tokarski, Tomasz
  • Trojak, Mariusz

Abstract

The paper seeks to explain the influence of the so-called gravity effect on the regional diversity of economic growth in Poland. The gravity effect, which is a reference to Newton’s gravity law, is based on the assumption that regions have some economic influence on one another. The strength of these relationships is proportional to the size of the regional economies and inversely proportional to the distance between them. The applied model of economic growth refers to the neoclassical models of Solow; Mankiw, Romer and Weil; and Nonneman and Vanhoud. The presented model takes into account the gravity effect. The model has one non-trivial stationary point that is asymptotically stable, the authors say, which means that this point is a long-run economic equilibrium point. The paper examines the regional diversity of various macroeconomic indicators in the period from 1999 to 2011. Additionally, parameters of the labor productivity function are estimated at the regional level. The research yielded numerical simulations of two possible scenarios of the economic diversity of Polish regions. In the first scenario, it is assumed that investment rates are different in different regions (mean rates for each region from past periods). In the second scenario, the investment rates are the same for all regions. Both scenarios seem to indicate that the regional diversification of economic growth in Polish regions may decrease significantly, but the process of divergence was stronger under the regime imposed in the first scenario, the authors say. The strongest gravity effects were observed in an area bounded by the cities of Warsaw, Poznań and Wrocław as well as the southern Silesia region, with the possible inclusion of the city of Cracow. Peripheral regions in terms of the gravity effect, according to the authors, are provinces in eastern Poland as well as Świętokrzyskie in the center of the country, Pomorskie and Zachodniopomorskie in the north, and Lubuskie in the west.

Suggested Citation

  • Mroczek, Katarzyna & Tokarski, Tomasz & Trojak, Mariusz, 2014. "Grawitacyjny model zróżnicowania rozwoju ekonomicznego województw," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2014(3), June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:polgne:358756
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.358756
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Romer, Paul M, 1990. "Endogenous Technological Change," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 71-102, October.
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    7. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    8. Walter Nonneman & Patrick Vanhoudt, 1996. "A Further Augmentation of the Solow Model and the Empirics of Economic Growth for OECD Countries," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 111(3), pages 943-953.
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    10. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mroczek, Katarzyna & Nowosad, Andrzej & Tokarski, Tomasz, 2015. "Oddziaływanie efektu grawitacyjnego na zróżnicowanie wydajności pracy w krajach bałkańskich," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2015(2), April.
    2. Katarzyna Filipowicz & Tomasz Tokarski & Mariusz Trojak, 2015. "Złote reguły akumulacji kapitału w grawitacyjnym modelu wzrostu gospodarczego," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 27-47.
    3. Katarzyna Mroczek & Andrzej Nowosad & Tomasz Tokarski, 2015. "Oddziaływanie efektu grawitacyjnego na zróżnicowanie wydajności pracy w krajach bałkańskich," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 15-53.
    4. Sławomir Pastuszka & Jurand Skrzypek, 2017. "Konwergencja czy dywergencja regionów włoskich?," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 101-130.

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