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Hedging Spot Corn: An Examination Of The Minneapolis Grain Exchange'S Cash Settled Corn Contract

Author

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  • Sanders, Dwight R.
  • Manfredo, Mark R.
  • Greer, Tracy D.

Abstract

This research examines the potential basis behavior and hedging effectiveness for the Minneapolis Grain Exchange's (MGE's) cash settled corn contract. MGE futures cash settle to the National Corn Index (NCI) calculated by the Data Transmission Network (DTN). Focusing on seven regions in Illinois, the data suggest that NCI futures offer potential advantages over the existing Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures. In particular, nearby basis variability could be reduced by 4¢ per bushel from 8.6¢ to 4.6¢ per bushel, and unconditional hedging effectiveness may increase from an average of 79% for the CBOT to 93% for the NCI. These results are statistically significant, and likely to be economically important given that agribusiness firms such as grain merchandisers and country elevators traditionally have very low margins.

Suggested Citation

  • Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Greer, Tracy D., 2003. "Hedging Spot Corn: An Examination Of The Minneapolis Grain Exchange'S Cash Settled Corn Contract," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 21(1).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:jloagb:14672
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14672
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. De Long, J Bradford & Andrei Shleifer & Lawrence H. Summers & Robert J. Waldmann, 1990. "Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(4), pages 703-738, August.
    2. De Bondt, Werner P. M., 1993. "Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 355-371, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Altman, Ira J. & Sanders, Dwight & Schneider, Jonathan, 2008. "Producer-Level Hedging Effectiveness of Class III Milk Futures," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers.
    2. Sanders, Dwight R. & Schneider, Jonathan & Altman, Ira J., 2007. "Producer-Level Hedging Effectiveness of Class III Milk Futures," 2007 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2007, Mobile, Alabama 34983, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    3. Jędrzej Białkowski & Jan Koeman, 2017. "Does the Design of Spot Markets Matter for the Success of Futures Markets? Evidence from Dairy Futures," Working Papers in Economics 17/18, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.

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