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A Model For The Palm Oil Market In Nigeria: An Econometrics Approach

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  • Egwuma, Henry
  • Shamsudin, Mad Nasir
  • Mohamed, Zainalabidin
  • Kamarulzaman, Nitty Hirawaty
  • Wong, Kelly Kai Seng

Abstract

The aim of this study is to formulate and estimate a model for the palm oil market in Nigeria with a view to identifying principal factors that shape the Nigerian palm oil industry. Four structural equation models comprising palm oil production, import demand, domestic demand and producer price have been estimated using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration approach over the 1970 to 2011 period. The results reveal that significant factors that influence the Nigerian palm oil industry include the own price, technological improvements, and income level. Government expenditure on agricultural development is also an important determinant, which underscores the need for government support in agriculture. Our model provides a useful framework for analyzing the effects of changes in major exogenous variables such as income or import tariff on the production, demand, and price of palm oil.

Suggested Citation

  • Egwuma, Henry & Shamsudin, Mad Nasir & Mohamed, Zainalabidin & Kamarulzaman, Nitty Hirawaty & Wong, Kelly Kai Seng, 2016. "A Model For The Palm Oil Market In Nigeria: An Econometrics Approach," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 4(2), pages 1-17, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ijfaec:234911
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.234911
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Awan Setya Dewanta & Riza Noer Arfani & Erfita, 2016. "Elasticity and competitiveness of Indonesia’s palm oil export in India market," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 8(2), pages 148-158, April.
    2. Shehu, Basiru Gwandu & Clarke, Michèle L., 2020. "Successful and sustainable crop based biodiesel programme in Nigeria through ecological optimisation and intersectoral policy realignment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Nur Ain Mohd Hassan & Kalsom Zakaria & Kamalrudin Mohamed Salleh & Siti Mashani Ahmad, 2023. "An empirical analysis of Malaysian palm oil export to world major palm oil importing countries:," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 33(1), pages 61-73.
    4. Simla Tokgoz & Summer Allen & Fahd Majeed & Bas Paris & Olajide Adeola & Evans Osabuohien, 2020. "Distortions to agricultural incentives: Evidence from Nigerian value chains," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(3), pages 1027-1045, August.

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