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The Price of Correlation Risk: Evidence from Equity Options

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Cited by:

  1. Sonali Jain & Jayanth R. Varma & Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla, 2019. "Indian equity options: Smile, risk premiums, and efficiency," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 150-163, February.
  2. Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2011. "Spot and forward volatility in foreign exchange," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 496-513, June.
  3. Georgy Chabakauri, 2012. "Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Investors and Portfolio Constraints," FMG Discussion Papers dp707, Financial Markets Group.
  4. Ian W. R. Martin & Christian Wagner, 2019. "What Is the Expected Return on a Stock?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1887-1929, August.
  5. Yabei Zhu & Xingguo Luo & Qi Xu, 2023. "Industry variance risk premium, cross‐industry correlation, and expected returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 3-32, January.
  6. Semir Ben Ammar, 2020. "Catastrophe Risk and the Implied Volatility Smile," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 87(2), pages 381-405, June.
  7. Juan M. Londono & Mary Tian, 2014. "Bank Interventions and Options-based Systemic Risk: Evidence from the Global and Euro-area Crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1117, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  8. Gonçalo Faria & João Correia-da-Silva, 2014. "A closed-form solution for options with ambiguity about stochastic volatility," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 125-159, July.
  9. Suleyman Basak & Georgy Chabakauri, 2012. "Dynamic Hedging in Incomplete Markets: A Simple Solution," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 25(6), pages 1845-1896.
  10. Mueller, Philippe & Stathopoulos, Andreas & Vedolin, Andrea, 2017. "International correlation risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84140, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  11. Allan M. Malz, 2013. "Risk-neutral systemic risk indicators," Staff Reports 607, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  12. Alfonso Novales & Alvaro Chamizo, 2019. "Splitting Credit Risk into Systemic, Sectorial and Idiosyncratic Components," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-33, August.
  13. Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Chardin Wese Simen, 2019. "The term structure of systematic and idiosyncratic risk," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 435-460, April.
  14. Wolfgang Schadner, 2021. "Feasible Implied Correlation Matrices from Factor Structures," Papers 2107.00427, arXiv.org.
  15. Sankar, Ganesh & Ramachandran, Shankar & Lukose P J, Jijo, 2020. "Dynamics of variance risk premium: Evidence from India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 321-334.
  16. Santa-Clara, Pedro & Saretto, Alessio, 2009. "Option strategies: Good deals and margin calls," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 391-417, August.
  17. Philippe Mueller & Andreas Stathopoulos & Andrea Vedolin, "undated". "International Correlation Risk," FMG Discussion Papers dp716, Financial Markets Group.
  18. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Yuliy Sannikov, 2014. "A Macroeconomic Model with a Financial Sector," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(2), pages 379-421, February.
  19. Matthias R. Fengler & Helmut Herwartz & Christian Werner, 2012. "A Dynamic Copula Approach to Recovering the Index Implied Volatility Skew," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(3), pages 457-493, June.
  20. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2020. "Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118850, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  21. Rombouts, Jeroen & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Franceso, 2014. "The value of multivariate model sophistication: An application to pricing Dow Jones Industrial Average options," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 78-98.
  22. Azad, A.S.M. Sohel & Batten, Jonathan A. & Fang, Victor, 2015. "What determines the yen swap spread?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-13.
  23. Wei Guo & Xinfeng Ruan & Sebastian A. Gehricke & Jin E. Zhang, 2023. "Term spreads of implied volatility smirk and variance risk premium," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 829-857, July.
  24. Kanne, Stefan & Korn, Olaf & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese, 2023. "Stock illiquidity and option returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  25. Groba, Jonatan & Lafuente, Juan A. & Serrano, Pedro, 2013. "The impact of distressed economies on the EU sovereign market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2520-2532.
  26. Manuela Pedio, 2021. "Option-Implied Network Measures of Tail Contagion and Stock Return Predictability," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21154, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  27. Chiarella, Carl & Hsiao, Chih-Ying & Tô, Thuy-Duong, 2016. "Stochastic correlation and risk premia in term structure models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 59-78.
  28. Tristan Guillaume, 2008. "Making the best of best-of," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-39, March.
  29. Kumiega, Andrew & Neururer, Thaddeus & Van Vliet, Ben, 2011. "Independent component analysis for realized volatility: Analysis of the stock market crash of 2008," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 292-302, June.
  30. Davide E. Avino & Andrei Stancu & Chardin Wese Simen, 2021. "Dissecting Macroeconomic News," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(5), pages 1047-1077, August.
  31. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119289, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  32. Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Elena Silyakova, 2012. "Implied Basket Correlation Dynamics," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2012-066, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
  33. Bams, Dennis & Honarvar, Iman, 2021. "VIX and liquidity premium," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  34. Philippe Raimbourg & Paul Zimmermann, 2022. "Is normal backwardation normal? Valuing financial futures with a local index-rate covariance," Post-Print hal-04011013, HAL.
  35. Sangwon Suh & Inwon Jang & Misun Ahn, 2013. "A Simple Method For Measuring Systemic Risk Using Credit Default Swap Market Data," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 38(4), pages 75-100, December.
  36. Prokopczuk, Marcel & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2017. "Variance risk in commodity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 136-149.
  37. Erik Vogt, 2014. "Option-implied term structures," Staff Reports 706, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  38. Christoffersen, Peter & Fournier, Mathieu & Jacobs, Kris & Karoui, Mehdi, 2021. "Option-Based Estimation of the Price of Coskewness and Cokurtosis Risk," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 56(1), pages 65-91, February.
  39. Chamizo, Álvaro & Novales, Alfonso, 2020. "Looking through systemic credit risk: Determinants, stress testing and market value," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  40. Vozlyublennaia, Nadia & Meshcheryakov, Artem, 2014. "Dynamic correlation structure and security risk," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 48-64.
  41. Chung, Sung Gon & Louis, Henock, 2017. "Earnings announcements and option returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 220-235.
  42. Härdle Wolfgang Karl & Silyakova Elena, 2016. "Implied basket correlation dynamics," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 33(1-2), pages 1-20, September.
  43. Mueller, Philippe & Stathopoulos, Andreas & Vedolin, Andrea, 2013. "International correlation risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 43087, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  44. Vilkovz, Grigory & Xiaox, Yan, 2013. "Option-implied information and predictability of extreme returns," SAFE Working Paper Series 5, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  45. Branger, Nicole & Muck, Matthias & Seifried, Frank Thomas & Weisheit, Stefan, 2017. "Optimal portfolios when variances and covariances can jump," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 59-89.
  46. Joon Woo Bae & Redouane Elkamhi, 2021. "Global Equity Correlation in International Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(11), pages 7262-7289, November.
  47. Goyal, Amit & Saretto, Alessio, 2009. "Cross-section of option returns and volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 310-326, November.
  48. Nicole Branger & Matthias Muck & Stefan Weisheit, 2019. "Correlation risk and international portfolio choice," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 128-146, January.
  49. Brinkmann, Felix & Kempf, Alexander & Korn, Olaf, 2014. "Forward-looking measures of higher-order dependencies with an application to portfolio selection," CFR Working Papers 13-08 [rev.], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  50. Eric Renault & Thijs Van Der & Bas J M Werker, 2023. "Arbitrage Pricing Theory for Idiosyncratic Variance Factors," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1403-1442.
  51. Raimbourg, Philippe & Zimmermann, Paul, 2022. "Is normal backwardation normal? Valuing financial futures with a local index-rate covariance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(1), pages 351-367.
  52. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars, 2011. "Multivariate option pricing with time varying volatility and correlations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 2267-2281, September.
  53. Chazi, Abdelaziz & Samet, Anis & Azad, A.S.M. Sohel, 2023. "Volatility and correlation of Islamic and conventional indices during crises," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  54. Faria, Gonçalo & Kosowski, Robert & Wang, Tianyu, 2022. "The Correlation Risk Premium: International Evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  55. Gribisch, Bastian, 2013. "A latent dynamic factor approach to forecasting multivariate stock market volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79823, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  56. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu, 2021. "The SKEW index: Extracting what has been left," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
  57. Branger, Nicole & Muck, Matthias, 2012. "Keep on smiling? The pricing of Quanto options when all covariances are stochastic," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1577-1591.
  58. Alfredo Ibáñez, 2008. "The cross-section of average delta-hedge option returns under stochastic volatility," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 205-244, October.
  59. Marco Piña & Rodrigo Herrera, 2021. "Risk modeling with option-implied correlations and score-driven dynamics," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 932, Central Bank of Chile.
  60. Bai, Jennie & Goldstein, Robert S. & Yang, Fan, 2019. "The leverage effect and the basket-index put spread," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1), pages 186-205.
  61. Ben Ammar, Semir, 2016. "Pricing of Catastrophe Risk and the Implied Volatility Smile," Working Papers on Finance 1617, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  62. Manuela Pedio, 2021. "Option-Implied Network Measures of Tail Contagion and Stock Return Predictability," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21154, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  63. Xing Han & Zheyao Pan, 2021. "Correlation and the omitted variable: A tale of two prices," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(2), pages 519-552, June.
  64. Paul De Grauwe & Zhaoyong Zhang & Kin-Yip Ho & Yanlin Shi & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2016. "It takes two to tango: A regime-switching analysis of the correlation dynamics between the mainland Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 63(1), pages 41-65, February.
  65. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
  66. Bryan Kelly & Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2016. "Too-Systemic-to-Fail: What Option Markets Imply about Sector-Wide Government Guarantees," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(6), pages 1278-1319, June.
  67. Oleg Sokolinskiy, 2020. "Conditional dependence in post-crisis markets: dispersion and correlation skew trades," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 389-426, August.
  68. Maxim Ulrich & Simon Walther, 2020. "Option-implied information: What’s the vol surface got to do with it?," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 323-355, October.
  69. José Afonso Faias & Juan Arismendi Zambrano, 2022. "Equity Risk Premium Predictability from Cross-Sectoral Downturns [International asset allocation with regime shifts]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(3), pages 808-842.
  70. Martin Wallmeier, 2024. "Quality issues of implied volatilities of index and stock options in the OptionMetrics IvyDB database," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 854-875, May.
  71. Peter Christoffersen & Ruslan Goyenko & Kris Jacobs & Mehdi Karoui, 2018. "Illiquidity Premia in the Equity Options Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(3), pages 811-851.
  72. Betton, Sandra & El Meslmani, Nabil & Switzer, Lorne N., 2022. "Volatility of implied volatility and mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  73. Pollet, Joshua M. & Wilson, Mungo, 2010. "Average correlation and stock market returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 364-380, June.
  74. Stephan Süss, 2012. "The pricing of idiosyncratic risk: evidence from the implied volatility distribution," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 26(2), pages 247-267, June.
  75. Anatoliy Swishchuk & Sebastian Franco, 2023. "Pricing of Averaged Variance, Volatility, Covariance and Correlation Swaps with Semi-Markov Volatilities," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-22, September.
  76. Kevin Aretz & Ming-Tsung Lin & Ser-Huang Poon, 2023. "Moneyness, Underlying Asset Volatility, and the Cross-Section of Option Returns," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(1), pages 289-323.
  77. Jonathan Raimana Chan & Thomas Huckle & Antoine Jacquier & Aitor Muguruza, 2021. "Portfolio optimisation with options," Papers 2111.12658, arXiv.org.
  78. Giovanni Salvi & Anatoliy V. Swishchuk, 2012. "Modeling and Pricing of Covariance and Correlation Swaps for Financial Markets with Semi-Markov Volatilities," Papers 1205.5565, arXiv.org.
  79. Bernales, Alejandro & Guidolin, Massimo, 2014. "Can we forecast the implied volatility surface dynamics of equity options? Predictability and economic value tests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 326-342.
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  82. Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2020. "Option Profit and Loss Attribution and Pricing: A New Framework," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 2271-2316, August.
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  85. Bernales, Alejandro & Guidolin, Massimo, 2015. "Learning to smile: Can rational learning explain predictable dynamics in the implied volatility surface?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-37.
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  89. Dmitriy Muravyev & Neil D Pearson & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Options Trading Costs Are Lower than You Think," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(11), pages 4973-5014.
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  92. Misik, Sándor, 2023. "Korrelációbecslés a forintpiacon [Correlation forecasting on the Hungarian forint market]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 772-794.
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  99. Schadner, Wolfgang, 2021. "Ex-Ante Risk Factors and Required Structures of the Implied Correlation Matrix," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
  100. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu, 2021. "The SKEW index: extracting what has been left," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108198, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  101. Peter Christoffersen & Mathieu Fournier & Kris Jacobs, 2018. "The Factor Structure in Equity Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(2), pages 595-637.
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  124. Manuel Ammann & Mathis Mörke, 2019. "Credit Variance Risk Premiums," Working Papers on Finance 1908, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  125. Alejandro Bernales & Thanos Verousis & Nikolaos Voukelatos & Mengyu Zhang, 2020. "What do we know about individual equity options?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 67-91, January.
  126. Hui, Cho-Hoi & Lo, Chi-Fai & Lau, Chun-Sing, 2013. "Option-implied correlation between iTraxx Europe Financials and Non-Financials Indexes: A measure of spillover effect in European debt crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3694-3703.
  127. Nieto, Belén & Novales, Alfonso & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2014. "Variance swaps, non-normality and macroeconomic and financial risks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 257-270.
  128. Wolfgang Schadner & Joshua Traut, 2022. "Estimating Forward-Looking Stock Correlations from Risk Factors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-19, May.
  129. Ravi Kashyap, 2019. "Concepts, Components and Collections of Trading Strategies and Market Color," Papers 1910.02144, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
  130. Symitsi, Efthymia & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Kourtis, Apostolos & Markellos, Raphael, 2018. "Covariance forecasting in equity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 153-168.
  131. Ziegler, Alexandre & Schürhoff, Norman, 2011. "Variance risk, financial intermediation, and the cross-section of expected option returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 8268, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  132. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2015. "Intra-daily volatility spillovers in international stock markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 95-114.
  133. Mohrschladt, Hannes & Schneider, Judith C., 2021. "Option-implied skewness: Insights from ITM-options," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  134. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
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