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Dissecting Macroeconomic News

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  • DAVIDE E. AVINO
  • ANDREI STANCU
  • CHARDIN WESE SIMEN

Abstract

How do macroeconomic events affect the term structure of equity returns? We document that the term structure of equity excess returns is upward sloping on federal fund rate announcement days but not on nonannouncement days. The dividend strips respond significantly to macroeconomic news and the strength of the announcement response declines with the maturity of the dividend asset. Our analysis reveals that nonfarm payrolls surprises have the largest impact on the term structure of dividend strips. The cash flow and discount rate channels both contribute to the response of the dividend asset to macroeconomic news.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide E. Avino & Andrei Stancu & Chardin Wese Simen, 2021. "Dissecting Macroeconomic News," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(5), pages 1047-1077, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:1047-1077
    DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12804
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