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Forward-looking measures of higher-order dependencies with an application to portfolio selection

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Listed:
  • Brinkmann, Felix
  • Kempf, Alexander
  • Korn, Olaf

Abstract

This paper provides implied measures of higher-order dependencies between assets. The measures exploit only forward-looking information from the options market and can be used to construct an implied estimator of the covariance, co-skewness, and co-kurtosis matrices of asset returns. We implement the estimator using a sample of US stocks. We show that the higher-order dependencies vary heavily over time and identify which driving them. Furthermore, we run a portfolio selection exercise and show that investors can benefit from the better out-of-sample performance of our estimator compared to various historical benchmark estimators. The benefit is up to seven percent per year.

Suggested Citation

  • Brinkmann, Felix & Kempf, Alexander & Korn, Olaf, 2014. "Forward-looking measures of higher-order dependencies with an application to portfolio selection," CFR Working Papers 13-08 [rev.], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:cfrwps:1308r
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Deng Xiong & Liu Yanli, 2018. "A High-Moment Trapezoidal Fuzzy Random Portfolio Model with Background Risk," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-28, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    option-implied information; dependence measures; higher moments; portfolio selection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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