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The Real Exchange Rate in Small Open Developed Economies: Evidence from Cointegration Analysis Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Debabrata Bagchi (Department of Finance, New York City)
Georgios E. Chortareas (Bank of England)
Stephen M. Miller (University of Nevada, Las Vegas, and University of Connecticut)
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We examine the effects of the terms of trade and the expected real interest rate differential on the real exchange rate in a sample of small open developed economies. We employ cointegration analysis to search for possible long-term linkages. We find that while both the terms of trade and the expected real interest rate differentials affect the real exchange rate in the long run, the role of the terms of trade generally proves more consistent across countries. The speed of adjustment for the expected real interest rate differential in the error-correction model, however, is quantitatively larger than it is for the terms of trade.
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Paper provided by University of Connecticut, Department of Economics in its series Working papers with number
2003-27.
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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2003Date of revision:
Publication status: published in Economic Record, March 2004Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2003-27Contact details of provider: Postal: University of Connecticut 341 Mansfield Road, Unit 1063 Storrs, CT 06269-1063 Phone: (860) 486-4889 Fax: (860) 486-4463 Web page: http://www.econ.uconn.edu/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Real Exchange Rates Real Interest Rate Differentials Terms of Trade Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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