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Determinants of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate

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Neary, J Peter

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Abstract

This paper presents a compact derivation of the determinants of changes in the equilibrium real exchange rate (the price index of non-traded goods relative to traded goods) in a small open economy with any number of goods and factors. It is shown that the change in the real exchange rate equals a simple weighted sum of the differences between the marginal propensities to consume and the marginal propensity to produce individual non-traded goods. Implications of the result are noted for a variety of applied questions, including the effects of foreign aid, the "Dutch Disease", and cross-country comparisons of purchasing power parity.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 209.

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Date of creation: Dec 1987
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:209

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Related research
Keywords: Dutch Disease; Foreign Aid; Open Economy; Purchasing Power Parity; Real Exchange Rates;

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  1. Geoorge Alessandria & Joseph Kaboski, 2004. "Violating purchasing power parity," Working Papers 04-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Rebecca Driver & Stephen Millard, 2004. "Exchange rates, commodities and the implications of volatility in a small open economy world," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 26, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gabriel Fagan & Vítor Gaspar, 2007. "Adjusting to the euro," Working Paper Series 716, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  4. Kenneth W. Clements & Renee Fry, 2006. "Commodity Currencies And Currency Commodities," CAMA Working Papers 2006-19, Australian National University, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Ronald MacDonald & Cezary Wójcik, 2006. "Catching-up, Inflation Differentials and Credit Booms in a Heterogeneous Monetary Union: Some Implications for EMU and new EU Member States," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  6. David Gruen & Jacqueline Dwyer, 1995. "Are Terms of Trade Rises Inflationary?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9508, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  7. Debabrata Bagchi & Georgios E. Chortareas & Stephen M. Miller, 2003. "The Real Exchange Rate in Small Open Developed Economies: Evidence from Cointegration Analysis," Working papers 2003-27, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. George Alessandria & Joseph Kaboski, 2007. "Pricing-to-market and the failure of absolute PPP," Working Papers 07-29, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
  9. J. Peter Neary, 2006. "Measuring Competitiveness," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 37(2), pages 197-213. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Mathias Hoffmann & Ronald MacDonald, 2003. "A Re-examination of the Link between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Maxym Chaban, 2006. "Real variables and the real exchange rate: The importance of traded goods in the transmission mechanism," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 6(1), pages 1-17. [Downloadable!]
  12. Carmen Mar? Mart?ez, 2003. "Current Account Imbalances, Thriftiness And The Real Exchange Rate In A Growing Economy," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 589.03, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC). [Downloadable!]
  13. Mark S Astley & Anthony Garratt, . "Exchange rates and prices: sources of sterling real exchange rate fluctuations 1973-94," Bank of England working papers 85, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  14. Jose De Gregorio & Holger C. Wolf, 1994. "Terms of Trade, Productivity, and the Real Exchange Rate," NBER Working Papers 4807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  15. Ronald MacDonald & Cezary Wojcik, 2003. "Catching Up: The Role of Demand, Supply and Regulated Price Effects on the Real Exchange Rates of Four Accession Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  16. Andrén, Niclas & Oxelheim, Lars, 2006. "Producer Prices in the Transition to a Common Currency," Working Paper Series 668, Research Institute of Industrial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  17. Elbadawi, Ibrahim A., 1992. "Real overvaluation, terms of trade shocks, and the cost to agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 831, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  18. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Javier Ordoñez & Mariam Camarero, 2007. "The Role Of Commodity Terms Of Trade In Determining The Real Exchange Rates Of Mediterranean Countries," Working Papers. Serie AD 2007-15, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
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