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Are There Waves in Merger Activity After All?

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  • Dennis Gaertner

    ()
    (Socioeconomic Institute, University of Zurich)

  • Daniel Halbheer

    ()
    (Socioeconomic Institute, University of Zurich)

Abstract

This paper investigates the merger wave hypothesis for the US and the UK employing a Markov regime switching model. Using quarterly data covering the last thirty years, for the US, we identify the beginning of a merger wave in the mid 1990s but not the much-discussed 1980s merger wave. We argue that the latter finding can be ascribed to the refined methods of inference offered by the Gibbs sampling approach. As opposed to the US, mergers in the UK exhibit multiple waves, with activity surging in the early 1970s and the late 1980s.

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File URL: http://www.soi.uzh.ch/research/wp/2004/wp0414.pdf
File Function: Revised version, 2006
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich in its series SOI - Working Papers with number 0414.

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Length: 32 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2004
Date of revision: Feb 2006
Publication status: published in International Journal of Industrial Organization 27(6), 2009, pp. 708–718.
Handle: RePEc:soz:wpaper:0414

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Keywords: mergerwaves; Markov Regime Switching Regression Model; Gibbs Sampling;

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