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Are There Waves in Merger Activity After All?

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Author Info
Dennis L. Gärtner () (Socioeconomic Institute, University of Zurich)
Daniel Halbheer () (Institute for Strategy and Business Economics, University of Zurich)

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Abstract

This paper investigates the merger wave hypothesis for the US and the UK employing a Markov regime switching model. Using quarterly data covering the last thirty years, for the US, we identify the beginning of a merger wave in the mid 1990s but not the much-discussed 1980s merger wave. We argue that the latter finding can be ascribed to the refined methods of inference offered by the Gibbs sampling approach. As opposed to the US, mergers in the UK exhibit multiple waves, with activity surging in the early 1970s and the late 1980s.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Zurich, Institute for Strategy and Business Economics (ISU) in its series Working Papers with number 0092.

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Length: 36
Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:iso:wpaper:0092

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Related research
Keywords: MergerWaves; Markov Regime Switching Regression Model; Gibbs Sampling;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Bayesian Analysis
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Philippe Mahler & Rainer Winkelmann, 2005. "Single Motherhood and (Un)Equal EducationalOpportunities: Evidence for Germany," Working Papers 0512, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Stefan Boes & Markus Lipp & Rainer Winkelmann, 2005. "Money Illusion Under Test," Working Papers 0514, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Dennis L. Gärtner & Daniel Halbheer, 2008. "Are There Waves in Merger Activity After All?," Working Papers 0092, University of Zurich, Institute for Strategy and Business Economics (ISU). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Bühler, Stefan & Schmutzler, Armin, 2003. "Who Integrates?," CEPR Discussion Papers 4066, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Yves Schneider & Peter Zweifel, 2005. "Spatial Effects in Willingness-to-Pay: The Case of Two Nuclear Risks," Working Papers 0502, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Sep 2007. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Dennis Gaertner & Armin Schmutzler, 2006. "Merger Negotiations and Ex-Post Regret," Working Papers 0607, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Dec 2007. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Rafael Lalive & Armin Schmutzler, 2005. "Exploring the Effects of Competition for Railway Markets," Working Papers 0511, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Apr 2007. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Hans Gersbach & Armin Schmutzler, 2006. "Foreign Direct Investment and R&D offshoring," Working Papers 0606, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Armin Schmutzler, 2006. "A unified approach to comparative statics puzzles in experiments," Working Papers 0601, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Nov 2008. [Downloadable!]
  5. Harry Telser & Peter Zweifel, 2003. "Validity of Discrete-Choice Experiments - Evidence for Health Risk Reduction," Working Papers 0313, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Feb 2005. [Downloadable!]
  6. Peter Zweifel & Harry Telser & Stephan Vaterlaus, 2005. "Consumer Resistance Against Regulation: The Case of Health Care," Working Papers 0505, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
  7. Peter Zweifel, 2005. "The Purpose and Limits of Social Health Insurance," Working Papers 0509, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Sep 2005. [Downloadable!]
  8. Lukas Steinmann & Harry Telser & Peter Zweifel, 2005. "The Impact of Aging on Future Healthcare Expenditure," Working Papers 0510, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Dec 2006. [Downloadable!]
  9. Simon Loertscher & Yves Schneider, 2005. "Switching Costs, Firm Size, and Market Structure," Working Papers 0508, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Stefan Boes, 2007. "Nonparametric Analysis of Treatment Effects in Ordered Response Models," Working Papers 0709, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
  11. Hans Gersbach & Armin Schmutzler, 2006. "A Product-Market Theory of Industry-Specific Training," Working Papers 0610, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
  12. Stefan Boes & Markus Lipp & Rainer Winkelmann, 2005. "Money Illusion Under Test," Working Papers 0514, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Patrick Eugster & Peter Zweifel, 2006. "Correlated Risks: A Conflict of Interest Between Insurers and Consumers and Its Resolution," Working Papers 0604, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
  14. Helga Fehr-Duda & Adrian Bruhin & Thomas Epper & Renate Schubert, 2007. "Rationality on the Rise: Why Relative Risk Aversion Increases with Stake Size," Working Papers 0708, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Feb 2008. [Downloadable!]
  15. Boris Krey & Peter Zweifel, 2006. "Efficient Electricity Portfolios for Switzerland and the United States," Working Papers 0602, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
  16. Stefan Boes & Rainer Winkelmann, 2005. "Ordered Response Models," Working Papers 0507, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  17. Stefan Buehler & Armin Schmutzler, 2003. "Asymmetric Vertical Integration," Working Papers 0306, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Nov 2004. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  18. Stefan Buehler & Armin Schmutzler, 2005. "On The Role of Access Charges Under Network Competition," Working Papers 0501, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
  19. Daniel Halbheer & Ernst Fehr & Lorenz Goette & Armin Schmutzler, 2007. "Self-Reinforcing Market Dominance," Working Papers 0711, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  20. Dennis Gaertner & Daniel Halbheer, 2004. "Are There Waves in Merger Activity After All?," Working Papers 0414, University of Zurich, Socioeconomic Institute, revised Feb 2006. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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