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Phillips curve in a small open economy: A time series exploration of North Cyprus

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  • Islam, Faridul
  • Shahbaz, Muhammad
  • Shabbir, Muhammad

Abstract

The paper explores the existence and the stability of Phillips curve for North Cyprus, a small developing economy, using time series data. ADF unit root test is employed to check for stationarity. ARDL and DOLS approaches to cointegration have been used to explore the long run relation and ECM to understand short run dynamics. The predictive properties DOLS are better than those of the conventional methods. The estimates point to the existence of Phillips curve both in the long and the short run. CUSUM and CUSUMsq tests confirm a stable relation.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 28397.

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Date of creation: 19 Jan 2011
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:28397

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Keywords: Inflation; Unemployment; ADF; Cointegration; DOLS;

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References

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Cited by:
  1. Fumitaka Furuoka & Qaiser Munir & Hanafiah Harvey, 2013. "Does the Phillips curve exist in the Philippines?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(3), pages 2001-2016.

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