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Cointegration relationship and time varying co-movements among Indian and Asian developed stock markets

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  • Guidi, Francesco

Abstract

This paper aims to explore links between the Indian stock market and three developed Asian markets (i.e. Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore). The index prices are non-stationary so we used cointegration methodologies in order to explore interdependencies. Johansen methodologies reject the hypothesis of long-run relationships among all stock markets, while the Gregory-Hansen test rejects the hypothesis of no cointegration with structural breaks. Our results suggest that in the long-term the benefits for investing in India are limited. We further estimated the time-varying conditional correlation relationships among these markets We find that correlations rise dramatically during periods of crisis, while they return to their initial levels after those periods.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 19853.

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Date of creation: Jan 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19853

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Keywords: Stock markets; cointegration; time-varying correlations.;

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Cited by:
  1. Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Frédéric Teulon & Christophe Rault, 2013. "Equity Risk Premium and Regional Integration," CESifo Working Paper Series 4158, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Yang, Chunxia & Chen, Yanhua & Niu, Lei & Li, Qian, 2014. "Cointegration analysis and influence rank—A network approach to global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 168-185.
  3. Zhong, Ming & Chang,Tsangyao & Tzeng, Han-Wen, 2014. "International Equity Diversification Between the United States and Brics Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 123-138, March.

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