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Money demand function versus monetary integration: Revisiting panel cointegration among GCC countries

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  • Lee, Chien-Chiang
  • Chang, Chun-Ping
  • Chen, Pei-Fen

Abstract

This paper applies the newly developed panel cointegrated technique [R. Larsson, J. Lyhagen, M. Lothgren, Likelihood-based cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels, Econom. J. 4 (1) (2001) 109–142] that allows for multiple cointegrated relationships to empirically re-examine the long-run money demand function for six selected countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in 1979–2000. At the center of focus is a discussion on the regional money demand phenomena with challenges and potential benefits, because of these GCC member adoption this monetary integration policy. It is determined that there are at least two cointegrated relations in the four-dimensional vector error correction model for the variables of the real money balance, the real scale variable, the nominal interest rate, and the exchange rate. The coefficient restriction test is also conducted, and it substantiates that the full panel test significantly rejects the hypothesis of the quantity theory of money for the long-run elasticity of income equal to unity, and we are able to reject the null hypothesis when the semi-elasticities of the nominal interest rate and exchange rate are equal to zero. Some critical policy implications emerge from the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chang, Chun-Ping & Chen, Pei-Fen, 2008. "Money demand function versus monetary integration: Revisiting panel cointegration among GCC countries," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 85-93.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:79:y:2008:i:1:p:85-93
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2007.10.003
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    Cited by:

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    2. Gupta, Rakesh & Guidi, Francesco, 2012. "Cointegration relationship and time varying co-movements among Indian and Asian developed stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 10-22.
    3. Helmi Hamdi & Ali Said & Rashid Sbia, 2015. "Empirical Evidence on the Long-Run Money Demand Function in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 603-612.
    4. Darrat, Ali F. & Al-Sowaidi, Saif S., 2009. "Financial progress and the stability of long-run money demand: Implications for the conduct of monetary policy in emerging economies," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 124-131, August.
    5. Moayad H. Al Rasasi & John H. Qualls, 2020. "Revisiting the Demand for Money in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 8(1), pages 38-45.
    6. Ali F. Darrat & Saif S. Al‐Sowaidi, 2009. "Financial progress and the stability of long‐run money demand: Implications for the conduct of monetary policy in emerging economies," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(3), pages 124-131, August.
    7. Syed Abul Basher & Stefano Fachin, 2014. "Investigating long-run demand for broad money in the Gulf Arab countries," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 199-214, July.
    8. Moayad H. Al Rasasi, 2020. "Assessing the Stability of Money Demand Function in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 6(2), pages 22-28, 02-2020.
    9. Samih Antoine Azar & Fadi Asrawi & Emad Gharzuddine, 2017. "Economic Integration in the Six Middle Eastern Gulf Countries: A Look from the Perspective of Money Demand," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(3), pages 189-218, December.
    10. Moayad Al Rasasi & Fares Rawah & Bander Alghamdi, 2020. "On the nexus between Stock Market Fluctuations and the Demand for Money in Saudi Arabia," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(1), pages 142-154, March.
    11. Muhammad Owais Qarni & Saqib Gulzar, 2020. "Intra-EMU and non-EMU, EU stock markets’ return spillover: evidence from ESDC," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 543-577, August.
    12. Haider Mahmood & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb, 2018. "Asymmetrical effects of real exchange rate on the money demand in Saudi Arabia: A non-linear ARDL approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(11), pages 1-12, November.
    13. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Moayad H. Al Rasasi & Salah S. Alsayaary & Ziyadh Alfawzan, 2022. "Money demand under a fixed exchange rate regime: the case of Saudi Arabia," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 385-411, December.

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