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Appropriate lag specification for daily responses of international stock markets

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  • Yoshiro Tsutsui
  • Kenjiro Hirayama

Abstract

This paper explores the international linkage of stock prices, using daily stock price indices of the four major economies (USA, UK, Germany, and Japan) from June 1974 to December 1997. It is argued that previous studies have not estimated the structural equation system reflecting the sequential occurrence of market closing, which is crucial in investigating the characteristics of daily responses among international stock markets. By estimating the structural equation system, it is found that the most recent market has the strongest effect, except for the case of Japanese effects on the German market.

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File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0960310032000056735
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 14 (2004)
Issue (Month): 14 ()
Pages: 1017-1025

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Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:14:y:2004:i:14:p:1017-1025

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References

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  1. Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression," Cahiers de recherche 8633, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
  2. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
  3. Corhay, A. & Tourani Rad, A. & Urbain, J. -P., 1993. "Common stochastic trends in European stock markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 385-390.
  4. Eun, Cheol S. & Shim, Sangdal, 1989. "International Transmission of Stock Market Movements," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(02), pages 241-256, June.
  5. George M. von Furstenberg & Bang Nam Jeon, 1989. "International Stock Price Movements: Links and Messages," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 20(1), pages 125-180.
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Cited by:
  1. Yoshiro Tsutsui & Kenjiro Hirayama, 2008. "How Fast Do Tokyo and New York Stock Exchanges Respond to Each Other?: An Analysis with High-Frequency Data," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 08-32, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics and Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP).
  2. Guidi, Francesco, 2010. "Cointegration relationship and time varying co-movements among Indian and Asian developed stock markets," MPRA Paper 19853, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Mikio Ito & Akihiko Noda & Tatsuma Wada, 2012. "International Stock Market Efficiency: A Non-Bayesian Time-Varying Model Approach," Papers 1203.5176, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2014.
  4. Xu, Haifeng & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2012. "Dynamic linkages of stock prices between the BRICs and the United States: Effects of the 2008–09 financial crisis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 344-352.

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