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Disinflation in a DSGE Perspective: Sacrifice Ratio or Welfare Gain Ratio?

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  • Guido Ascari

    (Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods, University of Pavia)

  • Tiziano Ropele

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

When used to examine disinflation monetary policies, the current workhorse dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of business cycle fluctuations is able to quantitatively account for the main stylized facts in terms of recessionary effects and sacrifice ratio. We complement the transitional analysis of the short-run costs with a rigorous welfare evaluation and show that, despite the long-lasting economic downturn, disinflation entails non-zero overall welfare gains.

Suggested Citation

  • Guido Ascari & Tiziano Ropele, 2010. "Disinflation in a DSGE Perspective: Sacrifice Ratio or Welfare Gain Ratio?," Quaderni di Dipartimento 111, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
  • Handle: RePEc:pav:wpaper:111
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    6. Busato, Francesco & Albanese, Marina & Varlese, Monica, 2022. "Inflation-based fiscal consolidation: a DSGE approach," MPRA Paper 113838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    8. Bluwstein, Kristina, 2017. "Asymmetric Macro-Financial Spillovers," Working Paper Series 337, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    9. Francesco Busatto & Maria Ferrara & Simona Galano & Monica Varlese, 2021. "Effects of Releasing Capital Requirements: A DSGE Approach," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 12(1).
    10. Mridula Duggal & Luis Rojas, 2023. "Optimal Disinflation with Delegation and Limited Credibility," Working Papers 1401, Barcelona School of Economics.
    11. Gibbs, Christopher G. & Kulish, Mariano, 2017. "Disinflations in a model of imperfectly anchored expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 157-174.
    12. Rubio, Margarita, 2020. "Cross-country spillovers from macroprudential regulation: Reciprocity and leakage," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    13. Rubio, Margarita & Carrasco-Gallego, José A., 2014. "Macroprudential and monetary policies: Implications for financial stability and welfare," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 326-336.
    14. Margarita Rubio & José A. Carrasco-Gallego, 2015. "Macroprudential and Monetary Policy Rules: a Welfare Analysis," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 83(2), pages 127-152, March.
    15. Ferrara, Maria & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2017. "Equitable fiscal consolidations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 207-223.
    16. Garbers, Chris & Liu, Guangling, 2018. "Macroprudential policy and foreign interest rate shocks: A comparison of loan-to-value and capital requirements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 683-698.
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    18. Salome Tvalodze & Shalva Mkhatrishvili & Tamar Mdivnishvili & Davit Tutberidze & Zviad Zedginidze, 2016. "The National Bank of Georgia's Forecasting and Policy Analysis System," NBG Working Papers 01/2016, National Bank of Georgia.
    19. Rubio, Margarita & Carrasco-Gallego, José A., 2012. "Macroprudential Measures, Housing Markets, and Monetary Policy," Dynare Working Papers 23, CEPREMAP.
    20. George J. Bratsiotis & Kasun D. Pathirage, 2023. "Monetary and Macroprudential Policy and Welfare in an Estimated Four-Agent New Keynesian Model," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2304, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    21. Magkonis, Georgios & Zekente, Kalliopi-Maria, 2020. "Inflation-output trade-off: Old measures, new determinants?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    22. Jan Filacek & Ivan Sutoris, 2019. "Inflation Targeting Flexibility: The CNB's Reaction Function under Scrutiny," Research and Policy Notes 2019/02, Czech National Bank.
    23. Rubio, Margarita & Comunale, Mariarosaria, 2018. "Macroeconomic and financial stability in a monetary union: The case of Lithuania," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 75-90.
    24. Shin, Jong Kook & Subramanian, Chetan, 2014. "Disinflation with labor market frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 1-15.
    25. Ben-Gad, M. & Pearlman, J. & Sabuga, I., 2021. "An Analysis of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies in a DSGE Model with Reserve Requirements and Mortgage Lending," Working Papers 21/04, Department of Economics, City University London.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Disinflation; Sacrifice ratio; Non-linearities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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